Concept

Density parameter — where it appears

A density written as a fraction of the critical density, which is why every one of them is a statement about the present moment. The sum of the density parameters fixes the geometry, and the observed total of one within a per cent is what the word flat refers to.

Named by 4 essays across one field — each of them below, with the objects they name alongside it.

Four expansion histories that agree exactly today. The scale factor against time, with the present at zero and every model normalised to a = 1 and an expansion rate of 67.36 km/s/Mpc there. That normalisation is the figure: four universes that are indistinguishable from a measurement made now, separated entirely by what is behind and ahead of them. Each curve is integrated from da/dt = aH₀E(a) rather than from its own closed form, so the four are compared through one routine. The age each implies is where its curve meets zero: empty (Ω = 0) 14.52 Gyr, matter only (Ω = 1) 9.68 Gyr, ΛCDM (Planck 2018) 13.80 Gyr, closed (Ω = 2) 8.29 Gyr. The empty universe's 14.52 Gyr is the Hubble time 1/H₀ exactly, which is what makes it the natural thing to measure an acceleration against. The closed model turns over and is stopped at its turnaround.

One number that is an age, a size and a density

The slope of the velocity–distance relation has units of inverse time, so it can be read as an age, multiplied by c to give a length, or squared to give a density. All three readings are natural, all three are quoted, and not one of them is the quantity it appears to be.

cosmology · Hubble constant
The same universe, four times, as a fraction of itself. Each bar is the fractional contribution of the four components to the total density at one epoch, computed from the Planck 2018 parameters by scaling each component from today: radiation as (1+z)⁴, both kinds of matter as (1+z)³, and Λ as a constant. The familiar figure — five per cent baryons, twenty-six dark matter, sixty-nine dark energy — is the top bar and only the top bar. At recombination the same universe is three-quarters dark matter and Λ is one part in ten million; before matter–radiation equality it is mostly radiation. A pie chart of the contents of the universe is therefore a statement about a moment, and the moment is the one it happens to be drawn in.

A budget whose familiar part is five per cent

Five per cent ordinary matter, twenty-six per cent dark matter, sixty-nine per cent dark energy. The figures are quoted everywhere and each one comes from a different measurement, the denominator they are fractions of is itself built out of the expansion rate, and the whole chart is a statement about one instant that was a different chart at every earlier time.

cosmology · Density parameters
A mass measured by the structure it prevents. The fractional suppression of the small-scale matter power spectrum against the sum of the neutrino masses. The relic density follows from the thermal history with no astrophysics in it — the neutrinos’ share of the critical density, times h², is the mass sum divided by 93.14 eV exactly — and the suppression is about eight times the neutrinos' share of the matter, because a particle moving at a large fraction of the speed of light streams out of an overdensity while it is still growing and takes its own gravity with it. The two mass orderings put a floor under the sum at 58 meV and 100 meV; the cosmological upper bound is near 0.12 eV, which is 7.2 per cent of suppression. The floor and the ceiling are within a factor of two of each other, so this is a measurement about to happen or a model about to break, and the quantity it returns is a sum rather than any individual mass.

A mass measured by what it stopped from forming

Neutrinos were relativistic in the early universe and are not now, so they are the one entry in the cosmic budget that changes category. What cosmology measures is not their density but the hole they leave — they stream out of a growing clump and take their gravity with them, and the missing structure bounds a particle mass more tightly than any laboratory has.

cosmology · Density parameters
One likelihood, read with three priors. A Gaussian likelihood in the effective neutrino mass sum, peaking at −0.08 eV with a width of 0.05 eV — of the shape that combinations of microwave-background and baryon-acoustic data have been reported to give. Read with no prior it says the data prefer a negative sum. Read with the physical prior, sum ≥ 0 (shaded right of zero), its 95 per cent upper limit is 0.059 eV, at the normal-ordering floor. Read with the oscillation prior, sum ≥ 0.059 eV, its limit is 0.102 eV — but only 0.3 per cent of the likelihood lies above the floor at all, which is the more informative number: the data and the oscillation experiments disagree at about 2.8 standard deviations.

A bound below the floor is not a mass

Oscillation experiments prove that neutrinos weigh at least 0.059 eV between them. Cosmology's latest upper bound on their total is 0.064 eV, and a bound computed differently would sit below the floor. The usual reading is that cosmology has nearly weighed the neutrino. The better one is that the fit's likelihood peaks at a negative mass: the data see more clustering than any real neutrino allows, and the bound is a symptom of that tension rather than a measurement of anything.

cosmology · Density parameters

Named alongside it

The objects these essays reach for when they reach for this one.

Critical densityFree-streamingMatter power spectrumMatter radiation equalityNeutrino massAge of the universeBaryon acoustic oscillationsBaryon densityCoincidence problemCosmic inventoryDark energyDark matter

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