Two horizons that differ only in who is inside
Assumes Horizons, Black hole spin and Dark energy.
The previous rung established when a cosmological event horizon exists: precisely when the expansion accelerates, because that is precisely when one integral converges. It said nothing about what such a horizon is, beyond a surface past which signals do not go.
There is more to say, and the more is thermodynamic. A horizon has a temperature and an entropy, and the formulas for both are the same formulas that describe a black hole. The sameness is not an analogy that holds approximately in a limit. One of the two quantities is identical between the two cases and the other differs by a factor of two, and both of those facts have reasons attached.
Where a temperature comes from at all
Neither temperature is a temperature of anything material. Both come from the same argument, and the argument is worth stating because it explains the factor of two rather than leaving it as a coincidence.
Take the metric, continue the time coordinate to imaginary values, and require that the resulting Euclidean geometry be smooth at the horizon rather than having a conical singularity there. That requirement fixes the period of the imaginary time coordinate, and a quantum field theory periodic in imaginary time with period β is a thermal field theory at temperature ħ/k_Bβ. The temperature is a smoothness condition, and nothing about it refers to any particle.
For Schwarzschild the period comes out at 8πGM/c³. For de Sitter it comes out at 2π/H. Convert both to the radius of the horizon in question — R_s = 2GM/c² and R_H = c/H — and the two temperatures are ħc/4πk_BR_s and ħc/2πk_BR_H. Same expression, factor of two.
The factor traces to a geometric difference and not to a physical one. In the Schwarzschild case the surface gravity at the horizon is c⁴/4GM = c²/2R_s; in de Sitter it is c²/R_H. Both temperatures are ħ times the surface gravity over 2πck_B, which is the general result — so the two agree about the relationship between temperature and surface gravity exactly, and differ only because the geometry gives a different surface gravity at a given radius.
There is a second route to the same numbers that is worth having because it makes the temperature feel less like a formal trick. A horizon is where an accelerating observer’s causal access ends, and an observer with proper acceleration a in flat space already sees a thermal bath at ħa/2πck_B — the Unruh temperature, which is the same expression again with the surface gravity replaced by the acceleration. The three results are one result: a horizon of any kind, seen by the observer for whom it is a horizon, is warm at ħκ/2πck_B where κ is whatever plays the role of surface gravity. The equivalence principle is doing the work, and that is why an argument about black holes transfers to a cosmology without any new physics.
The entropies do not differ
Where the analogy is exact rather than nearly exact is the harder of the two quantities.
That the two entropies agree exactly while the two temperatures differ by two is a genuinely odd fact, and it is not an accident of the derivations. The first law relates them: dE = T dS, and the energies differ in a way that compensates. What the agreement means is that the entropy is a property of the horizon surface — a quarter of its area in Planck units — while the temperature is a property of the observer’s relationship to it.
The comparison of the two panels is worth making explicit, because it is the sort of thing that is easy to state and hard to feel. A solar-mass black hole is 3 kilometres across and carries 10⁷⁷ units of entropy. The cosmological horizon is 10²³ times larger in radius and carries 10⁴⁵ times more entropy — which is 10²³ squared, because the entropy is an area. The area law is not a small correction to a volume law; it is a completely different scaling, and it is the reason the sky dominates.
The number 2.3 × 10¹²² deserves to be read slowly. It is the largest entropy in the observable universe by a very wide margin. All the black holes together contribute of order 10¹⁰⁴; all the photons in the microwave background about 10⁸⁸; all the baryons and their thermal degrees of freedom rather less. The sky’s own horizon carries eighteen orders of magnitude more than the largest of those and a hundred more than the rest.
It is also the number that the second law of thermodynamics has to be stated against if it is to be stated cosmologically at all. The usual puzzle about why the early universe had low entropy is normally posed in terms of matter, where the answer is that a nearly uniform gas is a high-entropy state and the low entropy was gravitational. Posed in terms of horizons the arithmetic changes: the horizon at recombination was small, so its entropy was small, and the total has been climbing ever since simply because the horizon has been growing. Whether that constitutes an explanation or a restatement is disputed, and the dispute is about whether a horizon entropy is a real entropy.
Which side the observer is on
The difference the factor of two encodes is one of orientation, and it is worth stating carefully because the two situations are not mirror images.
A black hole’s horizon is a surface that an observer surrounds. It is at a definite place, every observer agrees where it is, and what it hides is an interior — a bounded region. An observer can in principle go and look, at the cost of not coming back.
A cosmological horizon surrounds the observer. It is not at a definite place: every observer has their own, centred on themselves, and two observers a billion light years apart have overlapping but different horizons — the same observer-dependence that makes the dipole in the microwave background a statement about motion rather than about the sky. What it hides is the exterior — an unbounded region, most of the universe — and no observer can go and look, because the horizon recedes from any attempt to approach it in the sense that a signal sent toward it never crosses.
That difference has a consequence for what the entropy could be counting. For a black hole, the natural reading is that the horizon area counts the microstates of what fell in, and that reading has been made precise in string theory for certain extremal holes. For a cosmological horizon there is nothing analogous: the hidden region is different for each observer, no observer’s is preferred, and a count of states behind it would have to be observer-dependent. The formula is the same and what it counts may not be.
The one horizon in this collection that is warm enough to matter
Nothing above will ever be observed, and it is worth setting beside a horizon temperature that has been observed, because the contrast says what the obstacle is.
The microwave background is a horizon of a sort — the surface of last scattering is where the universe becomes opaque looking backwards — and it is at 2.7255 K, measured to four decimal places and the most perfect blackbody ever recorded. It is not a horizon in the causal sense: it is an opacity boundary, it recedes as the universe ages, and light from beyond it exists and simply has not escaped. But it is the surface that bounds what can be seen, and it has a temperature that instruments read.
The de Sitter horizon is thirty orders of magnitude colder, and the reason is a ratio of two lengths. The last scattering surface’s temperature is set by atomic physics — hydrogen recombines at about 3,000 K and the redshift does the rest — while the de Sitter temperature is set by the size of the horizon itself, and the horizon is 10²⁷ times a hydrogen atom’s Bohr radius many times over. A temperature that goes as the inverse of a cosmological length is a temperature that cannot be large.
The scale of the numbers, and one coincidence that is not one
The cosmological horizon’s temperature is 2.65 × 10⁻³⁰ K. Nothing will measure it. The energy of a typical quantum of that radiation is about 10⁻³³ electronvolts, and its wavelength is the size of the horizon, so detecting it would require an apparatus larger than the region it is trying to measure.
The coincidence flagged in the first figure — that a black hole as cold as the sky would weigh about what the observable universe contains — is worth resolving rather than admiring. Both quantities are c³/GH up to factors of order unity. The mass inside the Hubble radius is the critical density times the volume, which is (3H²/8πG)(4π/3)(c/H)³ = c³/2GH. The mass of a black hole whose temperature equals the de Sitter temperature is, from setting ħc/4πk_BR_s equal to ħc/2πk_BR_H, a hole of radius 2R_H, which has mass c²R_H/G = c³/GH. So the two agree to a factor of two by construction, and the coincidence is that the critical density is what it is — which is to say, no coincidence at all.
What is inside the sky’s horizon
One number in the first figure is worth converting into something a reader can hold, because the abstraction hides it.
The cosmological horizon is 4,450 megaparsecs in radius — 14.5 billion light years, which is the Hubble distance rather than the event horizon, since the temperature is set by H rather than by the integral of the previous rung. Inside it are of order 10⁸⁰ baryons, 10⁸⁸ photons, perhaps 10²³ stars and 10¹² galaxies. All of that, thermodynamically, is a rounding error against the surface that bounds it — including the supermassive black holes at the centres of those galaxies, which are individually the largest entropy reservoirs anything material has and collectively eighteen orders of magnitude short.
That is the content of the holographic principle in its original and least speculative form: the maximum entropy of a region is not proportional to its volume, as it would be for any ordinary system, but to the area of its boundary. A box of gas twice as wide holds eight times the entropy; a horizon twice as wide holds four times. Somewhere between the two the scaling has to change, and the crossover is where the matter in the box would collapse into a black hole. For a region the size of the sky the difference between the two scalings is 40 orders of magnitude, and the area law wins by all of it.
The thermodynamics that follows
If a horizon has a temperature and an entropy then it has a thermodynamics, and the entries in it are unfamiliar.
Adding mass to a region of de Sitter space decreases the entropy, because it shrinks the horizon: a Schwarzschild–de Sitter spacetime has both a black-hole horizon and a cosmological one, and the sum of their areas is maximised when the black hole has zero mass. So empty de Sitter space is the maximum-entropy state, and putting anything into it — a star, a galaxy, an observer — lowers the total. That is the opposite of the behaviour of a self-gravitating gas, which raises its entropy by clumping, and the two coexist because they are statements about different things: the gas raises the entropy of its own degrees of freedom while lowering that of the horizon it sits inside, and the sums do not obviously cancel. That is the reverse of the usual intuition about entropy and matter, and it follows directly from the area law.
It also produces the one genuinely disturbing consequence in this area, which is worth stating because it is a live problem rather than a curiosity. A thermal system with finite entropy explores its states, and a system with 10¹²² of them, given infinite time, produces every fluctuation compatible with its energy — including fluctuations that look like observers. Those observers would be vastly more numerous than the ones produced by ordinary cosmological evolution, because ordinary evolution happens once and fluctuations happen forever. That the reasoning leads somewhere absurd is generally taken as evidence that one of its premises is wrong, and the candidates are that de Sitter space is not eternal, that the entropy does not count states in this sense, or that the counting argument itself is invalid. No consensus exists on which.
What the analogy does not reach
Three things are true of a black hole’s horizon and not of the cosmological one, and each marks where the correspondence ends.
A black hole has other quantities. It has a mass, an angular momentum and a charge, and the horizon area depends on all three; the innermost stable orbit, the ergosphere and the accretion efficiency all move with the spin. A cosmological horizon has a radius and nothing else, because there is nothing outside it against which to define a rotation and no matter inside it that the horizon belongs to.
A black hole’s temperature rises as it radiates. Losing mass shrinks it, and a smaller horizon is hotter, so evaporation runs away and ends in a burst. The cosmological horizon’s temperature is fixed by Λ, which does not change, so it radiates forever at a constant temperature into a space that is not getting emptier. There is no runaway and no endpoint.
And a black hole’s horizon is a one-way membrane for matter as well as for signals. Something can fall in. Nothing crosses a cosmological horizon in the corresponding sense — a galaxy that passes beyond it has not gone anywhere, and from its own point of view nothing happened at all. The surface is defined by a failure of communication, not by a change of location.
What the picture cannot show
Every number here is computed for exact de Sitter space, which the universe is not. It is a universe with matter in it, expanding toward de Sitter, and the horizon temperature of an asymptotically de Sitter spacetime is a well-defined quantity only in the asymptotic limit.
That matters for the entropy in particular. The 2.3 × 10¹²² is computed from today’s Hubble radius as though the geometry were already the final one; the true asymptotic horizon is set by Λ alone rather than by the present expansion rate, and since matter still contributes about thirty per cent of the density today, the two differ by a factor of about 1.2 in radius and 1.4 in entropy. That is small on a scale where the exponent is 122 and it is not nothing, and the figure computes the first quantity while the sentence about maximum entropy is about the second.
There is a larger caveat about the whole framework. Hawking’s derivation for a black hole is a calculation in quantum field theory on a fixed background, and its extension to a cosmological horizon is the same calculation in a different spacetime. Both are semiclassical: they treat the geometry as classical and the fields as quantum, and they are known to fail when the horizon becomes comparable to the Planck length. Nothing here is near that regime, so the derivations are as trustworthy as they are anywhere. What is genuinely unsettled is not the temperature but its interpretation — whether the entropy counts anything, and if so what.
Where this ladder goes next
Five rungs have taken the horizons of this cosmology from an arithmetic surprise about the size of the observable universe to a thermodynamics of the surface that bounds it. What is left on the anchor divides into two.
One direction is the fair-sample question — and it is sharpened rather than softened by everything above, since an entropy of 10¹²² attached to the boundary of one observer’s region is a strange thing to have if the region is not special: whether the contents of one observer’s horizon are representative of anything larger, which is a question about how far homogeneity extends and about what could be said if it does not. The other is the interior of the diagram rather than its edges — the fact that a signal’s reach shrinks while a photon’s arrival does not, so the set of galaxies from which light is still arriving grows while the set that can still be signalled shrinks, and the two sets are diverging.
And below both: the habit this ladder has been about. A horizon is a property of an integral, not of a speed. Nothing in five rungs has been about anything travelling faster than light. Every one of them has been about whether a particular integral converges, and the answers changed when a quarter of a magnitude turned up in a supernova survey.
About the same objects
Not linked from either essay — found by the objects both name.
- A flare that puts a ceiling on a mass event horizon · schwarzschild radius
- The clock on which light travels in straight lines event horizon · observable universe
The objects this essay names
Each one links to every other essay that touches it.
Black hole entropyCosmological constantDe sitter spaceEvent horizonHawking radiationHolographic principleHorizon temperatureObservable universePlanck lengthSchwarzschild radiusSurface gravityThermodynamics