Astronomy & Celestial Mechanics
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The hubble-diagram generator

The velocity–distance law, with the peculiar velocities left in
The velocity–distance law, with the peculiar velocities left in. 46 model galaxies out to 420 Mpc. Each one's recession velocity is 67.36 km/s/Mpc times its distance plus a peculiar velocity drawn from a Gaussian of 300 km/s, which is what a galaxy's own motion within its group and cluster actually amounts to. The fit through the origin over the whole sample returns 67.13; the same fit restricted to the nearest 105 Mpc returns 64.68, and the shaded wedge is the ± 300 km/s band the peculiar velocities occupy. The wedge is the figure's argument: the scatter does not grow with distance and the signal does, so a nearby galaxy is a bad measurement of the expansion and a distant one is a good measurement of it that needs a much harder distance. Every difficulty in determining H₀ locally is the tension between those two sentences.

46 model galaxies out to 420 Mpc. Each one's recession velocity is 67.36 km/s/Mpc times its distance plus a peculiar velocity drawn from a Gaussian of 300 km/s, which is what a galaxy's own motion within its group and cluster actually amounts to. The fit through the origin over the whole sample returns 67.13; the same fit restricted to the nearest 105 Mpc returns 64.68, and the shaded wedge is the ± 300 km/s band the peculiar velocities occupy. The wedge is the figure's argument: the scatter does not grow with distance and the signal does, so a nearby galaxy is a bad measurement of the expansion and a distant one is a good measurement of it that needs a much harder distance. Every difficulty in determining H₀ locally is the tension between those two sentences.

4 essays call hubble-diagram. The drawing above is what it returns with no arguments at all; every call below passes it something, because a placement that passes nothing draws whichever member of the family the generator happens to default to rather than the one its essay argues about.

Where it is called

Every figure listed here is the same construction drawn at different numbers, so a correction to one is a correction to all of them.

A light curve that is a decay chain. Bolometric luminosity against days since explosion, for three Type Ia models synthesising 0.3 M☉, 0.6 M☉, 0.9 M☉ of ⁵⁶Ni, from Arnett's one-zone diffusion model. Nothing in the shape is fitted: the two timescales are the laboratory half-lives of ⁵⁶Ni and ⁵⁶Co, 8.8 and 111.3 days, and the rise is those decays seen through an envelope that takes 11.3, 15.5, 18.6 days to leak. Each peaks at 14, 18, 21 days, and at maximum the luminosity equals the instantaneous deposited power to within 0.6% — Arnett's rule, and the only reason a peak brightness can be read as a mass of nickel. After maximum the curves settle to nearly straight lines on this logarithmic axis, declining at 0.0360 magnitudes a day against ⁵⁶Co's own 0.0098. The difference is gamma-ray escape: the ejecta become transparent to the very photons that are supposed to be heating them, and the tail is therefore steeper than the isotope. The one thing the tail is not is a property of the star — it is a half-life, plus a column density that is falling as t⁻². Stars

The candle that has to be standardised

A Type Ia's light is the decay of half a solar mass of nickel-56 seen through an expanding envelope. Their peak brightnesses span six-tenths of a magnitude — and it is the width of the light curve, not anything else, that says which.

 Distance modulus against redshift, for three universes. The distance modulus μ = 5 log₁₀(D_L/10 pc) against redshift for three universes, all with H₀ = 67.36 km/s/Mpc, with 60 model supernovae drawn from the ΛCDM curve with 0.15 magnitudes of scatter. The point of the figure is how little difference there is: across two decades of redshift the three curves stay within a few tenths of a magnitude, and at z = 0.5 the accelerating and decelerating cases differ by 0.387 mag. A cosmology is not read off this plot. It is read off the residual, which is the next figure. Cosmology

An expansion that was supposed to be slowing

Gravity is attractive, so an expanding universe full of matter must be decelerating, and the only question was by how much. Two teams set out to measure the deceleration and both found a quarter of a magnitude of extra faintness at redshift half — which is the wrong sign.

 Four spectra, and 3.9 magnitudes between them at the same redshift. The K-correction — the magnitude that has to be added to compare a redshifted object with a nearby one through the same filter — against redshift, for four power-law spectra. At zero redshift every correction is zero by construction. Beyond that they diverge, because a filter at a fixed observed wavelength samples a different part of the source's own spectrum at every redshift, and how much flux is there depends on the spectrum. A flat spectrum needs no correction at all at any redshift, and the two extremes drawn differ by 3.9 magnitudes by z = 1.2. The circularity is the point: applying the correction requires the spectrum, and the spectrum is what a magnitude is being used to constrain. The dashed line is the way out — observe in a band chosen so that it lands on the rest-frame band of interest, and the spectral term cancels, leaving only the bandwidth stretch. Starlight

A magnitude in a band the source never had

A filter passes light at a fixed observed wavelength, and a redshifted source emitted that light at a shorter one. Comparing a distant galaxy with a nearby one through the same filter therefore compares two different parts of two spectra — and the correction between them needs the spectrum, which is what the magnitude was going to be used to find out.

 Residuals of 112 per cent nearby and 2.2 far out. Deviations from a pure Hubble flow, in per cent, against distance. Each galaxy carries a peculiar velocity of a few hundred kilometres a second — part a coherent bulk flow shared with its neighbours and part a random dispersion — and that velocity is added to its recession. Since the recession grows with distance and the peculiar velocity does not, the fractional error falls as one over the distance: it is 112 per cent at 5 megaparsecs and 2.2 at 250. The practical consequence is a lower cut-off on any Hubble-constant measurement: below about 40 megaparsecs the motions dominate, and the coherent part does not average away over a sample because neighbouring galaxies share it. Choosing that cut-off is one of the analysis decisions a local expansion rate depends on. Cosmology

A residual that is somebody else's velocity

A redshift is not a distance until the galaxy's own motion has been removed, and galaxies move at a few hundred kilometres a second. Nearby that is comparable to the expansion itself, so the local Hubble diagram's scatter is motions rather than measurement — and the motions are shared between neighbours, so they do not average away.

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