Astronomy & Celestial Mechanics
the sky, computed
Series

Expansion — the series

5 essays on one idea, from the one that introduces it to the one that assumes the rest.
  1. The same recession law from two different galaxies. Twenty galaxies at fixed comoving positions after the whole picture has been multiplied by 1.34, with each galaxy's displacement drawn from where it was to where it is. Every arrow's tail sits at the old separation and its tip at the new one, so the arrow is exactly 0.34 times its tail's distance from the highlighted galaxy — proportional to separation for one reason and no other: a uniform scaling moves everything in proportion to its distance from whatever point the scaling is measured about. The right-hand panel measures from a different galaxy and gets the identical law with the identical constant. That is the content of a linear velocity–distance relation. It is the signature of an expansion with no centre, and the observation that every galaxy recedes is therefore not evidence that this one is the centre — it is evidence that none of them is.

    The shift that is not a Doppler shift

    Every galaxy beyond the Local Group has its lines shifted to the red, by an amount proportional to its distance. Read as a velocity that looks like a confession that everything is fleeing from here; read as a change of scale it says the opposite, because a uniform expansion produces exactly the same law measured from any galaxy in it.

    part 1 · cosmology
  2. How much a galaxy's redshift changes in 10 years, and which way. The change in a galaxy's apparent recession velocity over 10 years of the observer's time, c ż/(1 + z), against the galaxy's redshift, for three universes with the same present expansion rate of 67.36 km/s/Mpc. The drift is (1 + z) H₀ − H(z): positive if the expansion rate at the galaxy's epoch was less than (1 + z) times today's, which is to say if the expansion has been accelerating since. In the empty universe the expansion rate is exactly (1 + z) H₀ at every epoch and nothing drifts at all. In the matter-only universe the expansion has only ever slowed, and every redshift falls: −8.6 cm/s over 10 years at z = 1 and −25.5 at z = 4. In ΛCDM the drift is positive nearby, largest at z = 0.63 where it reaches 2.51 cm/s, changes sign at z = 1.91, and is −5.5 cm/s at z = 4. The whole signal is a few centimetres per second in a decade, against the thirty kilometres per second of the Earth's own orbital motion that has to be removed from every spectrum first.

    A redshift that changes while it is watched

    A galaxy's redshift is a ratio of two sizes of the universe, and the second one is still growing while the light is being collected. So every redshift drifts, by a few centimetres per second in a decade, and the direction of the drift says whether the expansion has been speeding up since the light left — the one test of that question that needs no distance and no model of any source.

    part 2 · cosmology
  3. The expansion rate and the acceleration, and which of them reaches inside an orbit. Two quantities per unit distance through cosmic time, both in units of today's H₀². The square of the expansion rate, H², falls steeply from the big bang and is 1.00 today by definition. The acceleration of the expansion, ä/a, is the sum of a matter-and-radiation part, −Ωₘ/(2a³) − Ωᵣ/a⁴, drawn dashed, and the cosmological constant's part, ΩΛ = 0.685, which is the same at every time. The sum was negative — the expansion decelerating — until the universe was 7.7 Gyr old, at a = 0.614 or redshift 0.63, and is 0.527 today. The equation of motion of anything orbiting inside a bound system carries ä/a and never H: the rate at which distant galaxies recede does not appear in it at all. Of ä/a, the matter part is the mean density of the universe, which inside a galaxy or a planetary system is already counted in the mass that is doing the holding, many million times over. What is left is the constant: a fixed outward acceleration per unit distance, ΩΛ H₀², that does not grow with time and does not care how fast the universe is expanding.

    An orbit feels the acceleration and never the rate

    If space expands, it is natural to ask why the Earth's orbit does not. The answer is not that gravity resists the stretching. It is that the expansion rate never appears in the equation of motion of a bound orbit at all — only the acceleration does, and of that only the cosmological constant's part survives, as a fixed outward push that moves the Earth's orbit once, by twelve picometres, and never again.

    part 3 · cosmology
  4. Two galaxies that stopped moving apart, and the mass that did it. The separation of two galaxies on a radial orbit that began together at the big bang, against cosmic time, solved so that after 13.797 Gyr they are 770 kpc apart and approaching at 110 km/s — the present separation and approach speed of the Milky Way and the Andromeda galaxy. The curve is a cycloid, r = A(1 − cos θ) and t = B(θ − sin θ), and only one cycloid passes through that point with that slope. It rose to 1037 kpc, turned round when the universe was 8.5 Gyr old, and on this purely radial orbit the two meet 3.3 Gyr from now. Its period fixes the mass: A³/(GB²) = 4.2·10¹² solar masses. The dashed curve is the same calculation with the cosmological constant's outward push included, integrated rather than solved; to arrive at the same place at the same speed against that push it needs 4.76·10¹² solar masses, 13 per cent more. Far more than the stars of the two galaxies, it is the timing argument's measurement of the Local Group's dark matter.

    The age of the universe weighs the Local Group

    The Andromeda galaxy is approaching the Milky Way, and in an expanding universe that means the two once moved apart, stopped and turned round. One radial orbit passes through their present separation with their present speed after exactly the age of the universe, and its period fixes the mass that turned them — four trillion suns, twenty-five times what their stars can account for.

    part 4 · cosmology
  5. The dipole a 370 km/s motion has to put into counts of distant sources. The amplitude of the dipole in the number of sources per unit solid angle expected from the Sun's motion at 369.82 km/s relative to the microwave background, β = 1.234e-3, split into its two parts: aberration, 2β, which crowds sources towards the direction of motion, and the Doppler boost, x(1 + α)β, which brightens sources there and lifts fainter ones above the flux limit. For radio sources, with counts steepening as S^(−1) and spectra falling as ν^(−0.75), the expected dipole is 0.0046; for mid-infrared quasars, with counts steepening as S^(−1.7) and spectra falling as ν^(−1.26), the expected dipole is 0.0072, and the measured one is 0.0155 — 2.16 times larger, which would need a speed of 797 km/s. A dipole of a few parts in a thousand needs a catalogue of more than a million sources to see at all. The disagreement is not with the direction, which lies close to the microwave background's, but with the size, and it is not yet explained: either the samples carry a systematic nobody has found, or the matter and the radiation do not share one rest frame on these scales — in which case the assumption that the universe looks the same from everywhere is wrong in a way it has never been caught being wrong before.

    The Sun's speed counted in quasars comes out twice too large

    The microwave background is warmer in one direction by a part in a thousand, and that dipole is read as the Sun's motion through it at 370 kilometres per second. The same motion must crowd the counts of distant galaxies and quasars towards the same direction by an amount that can be calculated exactly. When a million quasars were counted, the direction agreed and the size came out more than twice too large — as though the Sun were moving at 800 kilometres per second relative to the matter.

    part 5 · cosmology

All series