Series

Parallax — the series

5 essays on one idea, from the one that introduces it to the one that assumes the rest.
  1. Parallax for a star at 1.3 parsecs. The same star observed from two ends of a baseline. The two sight lines are 1.54″ apart, so the parallax — half of that, the shift seen from a one-astronomical-unit baseline — is 0.769″ for a star 1.3 parsecs away. The definition of the parsec is the distance at which it would be exactly one.

    The triangle that reaches the stars, and stops

    Parallax is the only distance measurement in astronomy that assumes nothing. It is also the only one with a hard ceiling, and everything beyond that ceiling rests on it.

    part 1 · starlight
  2. One path, five numbers. Left: the apparent path of a star over 4 years, with a proper motion of 193 mas a year and a parallax of 50 mas, at ecliptic latitude 42°. It is one curve and there is nothing in the sky it can be compared against — the reference stars have paths of their own. Right: the same path with a straight line taken out of it. What is left is an ellipse of semi-major axis 50.0 mas and semi-minor axis 33.5 mas, closed and repeating once a year. The two are separated by their time signatures and by nothing else: proper motion is secular and parallax is annual, in a phase the Earth's position fixes in advance. That is why the five parameters can be told apart at all, and why an astrometric catalogue quotes five rather than two — a position without them is a position at one instant, which is not a direction to anything.

    Five numbers from one wiggle

    A star's path across a plate is a straight line with a one-year ellipse laid on it. Nothing measures either alone — one fit yields five parameters at once, and they are separable only because their time signatures differ.

    part 2 · sky
  3. One over a noisy parallax, at three precisions. The distribution of the distance obtained by inverting a parallax, for a star truly at 100 parsecs measured with fractional errors of 5, 10, 20 per cent. At five per cent the distribution is nearly symmetric and inverting is harmless. At twenty per cent it is strongly skewed: the mean sits at 105 parsecs rather than 100, and the tail runs to distances several times the truth, because a parallax scattered a little towards zero is a distance scattered a long way outward. The asymmetry is a Jacobian and nothing else — the parallax measurement is unbiased and symmetric throughout. Above about twenty per cent the mean of the distribution stops existing at all, because the density falls only as the inverse square of the distance and the integral of d times that diverges.

    The distance is not one over the parallax

    A parallax is measured with symmetric errors and a distance is one over it. Inverting a noisy positive quantity is not a change of units — it is a change of distribution, and the one that comes out is skewed, biased outward, and above about twenty per cent error has no mean at all.

    part 3 · starlight
  4. The Sun's motion, written across a group of stars. Proper motions of 400 stars all at 300 pc, against their angle from the solar apex, each with its own random velocity of 25 km/s in every direction. Filled dots are the component along the great circle away from the apex, υ; open dots are the component at right angles to it, τ. One star's υ is dominated by its own motion — the scatter is 17.6 mas/yr against a reflex of at most 13.7 — so no single star gives a distance. Together the υ components follow the Sun's reflex, 19.5 km/s times sin λ, and the fitted amplitude, 13.70 ± 1.06 mas/yr, gives a distance of 300 pc ± 8 per cent against the true 300 pc. The τ components scatter about zero at every angle, because the Sun's motion has no part across the great circle.

    A baseline that grows four astronomical units a year

    The Earth's orbit gives a parallax a baseline of two astronomical units and never more. The Sun's own motion through the nearby stars gives one that lengthens by four a year without limit — but the stars move too, by as much, so the long baseline yields a distance only for a group whose motions average away, and for a century it was the only way to reach past a few hundred parsecs.

    part 4 · starlight
  5. A calibration sample, and the stars a precision cut keeps. Measured parallax against apparent magnitude for one star in four of a simulated sample of 8000 standard candles of absolute magnitude 0.5 and intrinsic scatter 0.15 mag, spread through a disc 15 kpc in radius and 300 pc thick and catalogued to magnitude 16. The parallax axis is stretched near zero so the negative measurements show. The solid curve is the parallax a star of exactly the calibrated luminosity would have at each magnitude, and the dashed curve is the cut ϖ/σ = 5: stars above it are the "good parallaxes" a calibration usually keeps. It keeps 3242 of the 8000, 41 per cent, and at faint magnitudes the curve it cuts through runs through the middle of the stars rather than below them, so the ones kept there are the ones whose errors pushed their parallaxes up. 45 stars have negative parallaxes; no inversion can use them, and a fit in parallax space uses them like any other.

    A calibration chosen by the measurement it calibrates

    A standard candle is calibrated on stars with good parallaxes, and "good" is decided by the parallax itself — so the calibrators are the stars whose errors happened to push them nearer. Correcting each star's distance afterwards does not repair it, because the correction needs a picture of where the sample's stars really lie, and that picture depends on the luminosity being calibrated. What works is to choose nothing, keep every star with the negative parallaxes included, and fit the candle by predicting the parallaxes rather than inverting them.

    part 5 · starlight

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