Astronomy & Celestial Mechanics
the sky, computed
Series

Radius valley — the series

5 essays on one idea, from the one that introduces it to the one that assumes the rest.
  1. A gap where planets should be. The number of planets per star per interval of log radius, for orbital periods under a hundred days, corrected for detection efficiency. There are two peaks — super-Earths near 1.3 R⊕ and sub-Neptunes near 2.4 R⊕ — and a deficit between them at 1.89 R⊕, where the occurrence falls to 33% of the peak. The gap is not a gap in what can be detected: detection efficiency rises smoothly through it, so a smooth underlying distribution could not produce a dip there.

    A gap in a histogram that says how planets are built

    Between the super-Earths and the sub-Neptunes there is a radius at which planets are markedly rarer. The gap is not a gap in what can be detected, and its slope with orbital period names the process that made it.

    part 1 · exoplanets
  2. How long a planet's hydrogen lasts, against how much of it there is. The time a young Sun-like star's saturated X-ray and ultraviolet output would take to remove a planet's whole hydrogen envelope, at 100 times the Earth's insolation, against the envelope's share of the planet's mass, for cores of 3, 5, 8 Earth masses. It is computed with energy-limited escape and an interior fit for the envelope's thickness, and it is not monotonic. A heavy envelope takes long to remove because there is a lot of it. A very light one takes long because the planet is small and intercepts little light. In between the time peaks, and it peaks where the envelope has swollen the planet most for its mass: 3 Earth masses at an envelope of 1.9 per cent, 129 Myr, where the envelope is 1.31 times as thick as the core's radius; 5 Earth masses at an envelope of 2.8 per cent, 364 Myr, where the envelope is 1.30 times as thick as the core's radius; 8 Earth masses at an envelope of 4.0 per cent, 946 Myr, where the envelope is 1.30 times as thick as the core's radius. The peak is what makes a valley. A planet above it losing gas moves up the curve, its remaining envelope lasting longer and longer, and settles; a planet below it moves down, lasting less and less, and loses everything. The horizontal lines are the saturated phase, 100 Myr, and the 300 Myr of saturated-equivalent exposure the whole history delivers: a core whose peak lies below the second line cannot keep any envelope at all.

    The envelope that doubles a planet lasts longest

    The gap in the radii of small planets is not merely a place where planets are rare — it is nearly empty, and the reason is a peak. The time a young star needs to strip a planet's hydrogen is longest for the envelope that swells the planet to a little over twice its core's size. Anything thinner runs away to nothing, and anything thicker settles back towards the peak.

    part 2 · exoplanets
  3. When the stripping happens, in a model population. For the same 3,000 model planets, the share that have lost their whole envelope by each age, scaled to the share bare at 5.0 Gyr (35 per cent of the population), beside the share of the star's lifetime XUV energy delivered by then. Half of all the stripping in this model is finished by 72 Myr and nine tenths by 457 Myr, while the star has delivered 27 and 76 per cent of its XUV energy. That is the clock photoevaporation keeps: the valley is essentially finished within the first few hundred million years, because the planets near the boundary are the ones that run away, and they run away early. A mechanism powered instead by the slow cooling of the planets' own cores would keep moving planets across the valley for billions of years. The difference is in when, not where, and it is why the ages of the stars hosting planets on either side of the valley are the measurement that can separate the two.

    The stripping runs ahead of the starlight that drives it

    If young stars carve the radius valley with their X-ray light, the valley should be finished early — half of it before the star has delivered a third of that light, and nine tenths of it within a few hundred million years. If the planets' own cooling cores carve it instead, planets should still be crossing it billions of years later. The two accounts put the valley in the same place, and they are separated by the one thing a histogram cannot show — when.

    part 3 · exoplanets
  4. Where photoevaporation puts the valley, round stars of different mass. The radius of the largest core stripped bare, against orbital period, round stars of 0.5 M☉, 0.75 M☉, 1 M☉, 1.25 M☉, in the same energy-limited model, with each star's luminosity taken as its mass to the fourth power and its saturated phase lengthened for smaller stars as the mass to the −1.5, 100 Myr for the Sun. At ten days the valley is at 1.22 Earth radii round the 0.5 M☉ star, 1.38 Earth radii round the 0.75 M☉ star, 1.50 Earth radii round the 1 M☉ star, 1.60 Earth radii round the 1.25 M☉ star, and every one of them tilts as the −0.176 power of the orbital period, because the tilt comes from the exponents of the escape law and the interior fit, which do not depend on the star. A lower-mass star is far fainter, so at a given period its planets receive much less light, and even its longer active phase does not make up the difference: this model puts the valley at smaller radii round smaller stars while keeping the same sign of tilt. The stellar scalings are rough, and they are the least certain part of the calculation; what is robust is that photoevaporation ties the valley to the XUV energy a planet received, which falls with the star's mass at fixed period, and a mechanism tied to something else would tie it differently.

    A smaller star puts the valley lower

    Round stars of half the Sun's mass, the gap between bare rocky cores and sub-Neptunes should sit at a smaller radius than round the Sun, because at the same orbital period their planets receive a tenth of the light. Their stars also stay young and active far longer, which pushes the other way. Photoevaporation weighs those two against each other in a definite proportion, and the answer is a valley that scales as the star's mass to about the power three tenths.

    part 4 · exoplanets
  5. The XUV energy that reached one astronomical unit, for three young Suns. The cumulative X-ray and extreme-ultraviolet energy delivered per square metre at the Earth's distance from the Sun, against age, for three histories that differ only in how long the young Sun stayed magnetically saturated: 20 Myr for a slow rotator, 100 Myr for a medium rotator, 300 Myr for a fast rotator. After saturation each declines to a common track by 1 Gyr, as rotation histories are observed to converge. By 4.5 Gyr the totals are 2.06·10¹⁵ J/m² for the slow rotator, 3.66·10¹⁵ J/m² for the medium rotator, 6.47·10¹⁵ J/m² for the fast rotator: the fast rotator delivered 3.1 times as much as the slow rotator, nearly all of it in the first few hundred million years. The Sun's own rotation at that age is not measured; it is inferred from the spread of rotation periods in young clusters, and all three histories are consistent with a Sun that ends up rotating as it does now.

    The young Sun's spin decides what the Earth kept

    The calculation that strips sub-Neptunes applies just as well to a planet with a trace of hydrogen. An Earth that captured a few hundredths of a per cent of its mass from the gas it formed in — several times the hydrogen now in its oceans — would have lost all of it, or kept most of it, depending on something nobody has measured — how fast the Sun was spinning in its first few hundred million years.

    part 5 · exoplanets

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