Astronomy & Celestial Mechanics
the sky, computed
Concept

Observability — where it appears

Whether a quantity can be determined at all from a given set of measurements and dynamics. An unobservable direction is not a noisy one: no accumulation of data reduces its uncertainty, and only a change to the experiment helps.

Named by 2 essays across 2 fields — each of them below, with the objects they name alongside it.

After one revolution the error is 3π times longer than it is wide, and after 300 it is 2827. The two semi-axes of a fitted orbit's position uncertainty, against elapsed revolutions, for a solution whose semi-major axis is uncertain by 12 kilometres. The radial extent does not grow at all: a body on a slightly larger orbit is slightly further out and stays so. The along-track extent grows linearly, because δn/n = −(3/2)δa/a makes a semi-major-axis error into a mean-motion error and a mean-motion error into a phase that runs away — a·δM = 3πN·δa after N revolutions. The ratio is 3π ≈ 9.42 after a single revolution and 2827 after 300, which is why an asteroid recovered after one apparition is found within a few arcseconds of its predicted place along its own track and could be a long way from it in time. Every consequence of this in practice — that an impact probability is a one-dimensional integral rather than a volume, that a keyhole is an interval, that the next observation worth taking is the one across the track rather than the one that fits best — is a restatement of these two lines diverging.

An error that is nearly all in one direction

A fitted orbit's uncertainty is not a ball. Within a few revolutions it has collapsed onto a line along the track, because an error in the size of an orbit is an error in its period and an error in period is a phase that runs away — which is why an impact probability is an integral along a curve rather than over a volume.

orbits · Orbit determination Two ranges that look identical until something is spent. The bearing to a target, as a camera measures it, for two relative orbits that differ only in size — one 2.5 times further away than the other in every coordinate at every instant. Before the manoeuvre the two histories are identical to machine precision, and that is not a numerical accident but a property of the equations: the linearised relative dynamics are homogeneous, so scaling a whole trajectory gives another trajectory, and a direction is unchanged by scaling. An angles-only tracker is therefore exactly blind to range, and no amount of observing improves it. At 42 per cent of the way through, both vehicles fire the same 0.05 m/s impulse — and the histories separate, by up to 2.3 degrees, because an impulse measured in metres per second is the one quantity in the problem that does not scale with the trajectory. The manoeuvre is what makes range observable, which is why an autonomous vehicle navigating on a camera alone flies a deliberate zig-zag rather than a straight approach, and why the manoeuvre is chosen for what it reveals as much as for where it goes.

A camera that cannot see how far

The equations that make a close approach tractable are linear and homogeneous, so scaling an entire relative trajectory gives another valid one with every bearing identical. A vehicle navigating on angles alone is therefore not merely imprecise about range — it is exactly blind to it, and the only thing that restores the scale is spending propellant.

spaceflight · Rendezvous

Named alongside it

The objects these essays reach for when they reach for this one.

Along-track errorAngles only navigationArc lengthThe Clohessy–Wiltshire equationsClone orbitsCondition numberCovarianceDegeneracyGravitational focusingImpact probabilityImpulseKalman filter

All concepts