Astronomy & Celestial Mechanics
the sky, computed
Concept

Type ia supernovae — where it appears

The thermonuclear explosion of a white dwarf, whose peak brightness measures a mass of nickel-56 and whose light curve says which. They are standardisable rather than standard: the peak brightness correlates with the decline rate, and applying that correction is what makes them usable as distance indicators.

Named by 7 essays across 4 fields — each of them below, with the objects they name alongside it.

A light curve that is a decay chain. Bolometric luminosity against days since explosion, for three Type Ia models synthesising 0.3 M☉, 0.6 M☉, 0.9 M☉ of ⁵⁶Ni, from Arnett's one-zone diffusion model. Nothing in the shape is fitted: the two timescales are the laboratory half-lives of ⁵⁶Ni and ⁵⁶Co, 8.8 and 111.3 days, and the rise is those decays seen through an envelope that takes 11.3, 15.5, 18.6 days to leak. Each peaks at 14, 18, 21 days, and at maximum the luminosity equals the instantaneous deposited power to within 0.6% — Arnett's rule, and the only reason a peak brightness can be read as a mass of nickel. After maximum the curves settle to nearly straight lines on this logarithmic axis, declining at 0.0360 magnitudes a day against ⁵⁶Co's own 0.0098. The difference is gamma-ray escape: the ejecta become transparent to the very photons that are supposed to be heating them, and the tail is therefore steeper than the isotope. The one thing the tail is not is a property of the star — it is a half-life, plus a column density that is falling as t⁻².

The candle that has to be standardised

A Type Ia's light is the decay of half a solar mass of nickel-56 seen through an expanding envelope. Their peak brightnesses span six-tenths of a magnitude — and it is the width of the light curve, not anything else, that says which.

stars · Supernovae A one-parameter model, and 9 times too many metal-poor stars. The metallicity distribution of long-lived stars near the Sun — the bars — against two models of how a galaxy enriches itself. The closed box is as simple as a model of a galaxy can be: gas turns into stars, stars make metals and return them, nothing enters and nothing leaves. It has exactly one parameter, the yield, and it predicts the whole curve. It gets the peak roughly right and the tail catastrophically wrong: 13.7 per cent of its stars fall below [Fe/H] = -1 against an observed 1.6 per cent, a factor of 9. This is the G-dwarf problem, and the reason it is an argument rather than a discrepancy is that the failure cannot be fixed by changing the yield: the yield sets where the peak is, and moving the peak to fix the tail moves it away from the data. What is wrong is a boundary condition. Let gas keep arriving — pristine, at roughly the rate it is being consumed — and the gas is never both abundant and metal-poor for long, so few stars form while it is. That is the second curve, with 3.2 per cent below -1, and it needed no new nucleosynthesis and no new parameter beyond the fact of accretion. The picture cannot show the thing that would settle it directly, which is the infall itself: the gas arriving on the disc now is a few solar masses a year spread over twenty kiloparsecs, and it has never been securely detected.

A histogram that says the box was not closed

The simplest model of a galaxy enriching itself has exactly one parameter and predicts the whole metallicity distribution of its surviving stars. The solar neighbourhood's disagrees, in a specific direction — and the failure is not in the nucleosynthesis but in a boundary condition.

galaxies · Chemical evolution Distance modulus against redshift, for three universes. The distance modulus μ = 5 log₁₀(D_L/10 pc) against redshift for three universes, all with H₀ = 67.36 km/s/Mpc, with 60 model supernovae drawn from the ΛCDM curve with 0.15 magnitudes of scatter. The point of the figure is how little difference there is: across two decades of redshift the three curves stay within a few tenths of a magnitude, and at z = 0.5 the accelerating and decelerating cases differ by 0.387 mag. A cosmology is not read off this plot. It is read off the residual, which is the next figure.

An expansion that was supposed to be slowing

Gravity is attractive, so an expanding universe full of matter must be decelerating, and the only question was by how much. Two teams set out to measure the deceleration and both found a quarter of a magnitude of extra faintness at redshift half — which is the wrong sign.

cosmology · Dark energy A power law has no timescale: half the Type Ia supernovae by 740 Myr and a tail to 13.7 Gyr. The fraction of all the Type Ia supernovae a single burst of star formation will ever produce that have exploded by a given delay, on a logarithmic time axis, for t⁻¹ from 40 Myr; t⁻¹·⁴ from 40 Myr; single delay of 1 Gyr; Gaussian, 3 ± 1 Gyr. The power law is what rates measured against host-galaxy ages and against the cosmic star-formation history both favour, and its cumulative fraction rises as the logarithm of the delay — equal numbers per decade of time. Half have exploded by the geometric mean of its limits, 740 Myr, 55 per cent by 1 Gyr, and the last are still exploding after a Hubble time. A single delay turns the whole population on at once; a Gaussian concentrates it at a characteristic age. The power law's shape has a physical reading: if white dwarfs explode when a pair of them merges by emitting gravitational waves, the merger time goes as the fourth power of their separation, and a broad distribution of separations becomes a distribution of delays with no preferred scale. What the drawing cannot say is which progenitors are involved — the measured rates constrain the shape and the normalisation, about one Ia per thousand solar masses of stars formed, and not the mechanism.

The iron clock has no single delay

The α-element knee is drawn as though Type Ia supernovae switched on a billion years after the stars that made them. Measured rates say otherwise — the delays are spread evenly over every decade from forty million years to a Hubble time, as a power law with no timescale in it — and a clock with no timescale bends where a clock with one would break.

galaxies · Chemical evolution Three fits of the dark energy's equation of state, and the line they all cross. The equation of state w of the dark energy against redshift, for the three combined fits published with the second year of acoustic-scale data from the largest spectroscopic galaxy survey — the same galaxy and microwave-background data with three different supernova compilations — each written as w = w₀ + wₐ z/(1 + z). A cosmological constant is the horizontal line at −1. All three fits have w above −1 today (between −0.84 and −0.67) and below it in the past, and they cross it at redshift 0.35, 0.44, 0.41. Below −1 lies the phantom region, where a density grows as the universe expands; a single field with ordinary kinetic energy can be on either side of the line but cannot cross it. The preference for these fits over a constant is quoted at 2.8, 3.8 and 4.2 standard deviations, and the only thing that differs between the three is the supernovae.

A crossing that may belong to the fitting form

Allow the dark energy's equation of state to change and three independent fits say it has: above −1 today, below it before redshift half. The data hold w well at one redshift only, a line crossed from below is one no single field can cross, and a straight line in the scale factor fitted to a curved history crosses it anyway.

cosmology · Dark energy The ratio of two distances, for a universe with dark energy and one with dust. The distance-duality ratio η — the luminosity distance divided by (1 + z)² times the angular-diameter distance — against redshift. In a universe with a cosmological constant, or any universe in which light travels on the geometry and is conserved, it is exactly one (solid). In a universe of matter alone, decelerating, with grey intergalactic dust dimming its supernovae just enough to make their distances match the accelerating one's, it rises with redshift: 1.19 at redshift 0.5, 1.30 at 1, because the dust makes supernovae look farther than the geometry puts them while leaving the acoustic-scale distances untouched. The shaded band is η = 1 ± 0.03z, about what supernova and acoustic-scale distances together allow. The dusty universe's η rises at the start with a slope of about 0.45 per unit redshift, more than ten times the band's, and leaves it at once.

Two distances that must agree if light is conserved

A supernova's distance comes from how faint it is; an acoustic ruler's distance comes from how small it looks. In any universe whose light follows the geometry and is neither created nor destroyed, the two are tied by an exact factor of (1 + z)², whatever the universe contains. Dust that dimmed distant supernovae without reddening them could have faked the accelerating expansion — and would have broken that tie by a fifth by redshift a half. The tie holds to a few per cent.

starlight · Distance ladder How far a wrong metallicity term moves the Hubble constant. The fractional change in the Hubble constant against the error in the adopted metallicity term, in magnitudes per dex, for supernova hosts whose Cepheids are 0.1, 0.2, 0.4 dex richer in metals than the geometric calibrators'. A term too weak (too close to zero) by 0.2 mag/dex with hosts 0.2 dex richer moves H₀ by 1.9%. The shaded band is the ±8% disagreement between the local measurement and the microwave background's prediction: reaching it with a 0.2-dex difference needs the term wrong by 0.9 mag/dex.

A metallicity term too small to close a gap

Cepheids of the same period are slightly brighter when they are richer in metals, by about a fifth of a magnitude per factor of ten in metal content. The galaxies whose supernovae calibrate the Hubble constant hold Cepheids a little richer than the galaxies whose distances are known geometrically, so the term enters the answer. How much it can move it is simple to compute: a few per cent at most for any plausible error — and the eight per cent separating the local Hubble constant from the early universe's would need the term to be wrong by four times its own size.

stars · Variable stars

Named alongside it

The objects these essays reach for when they reach for this one.

Accelerating expansionAcoustic scaleAlpha enhancementAlpha kneeChemical evolutionCosmological constantDark energyEquation of stateLuminosity distanceStandard candleWhite dwarfAngular-diameter distance

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