A spin that is one length in disguise
Assumes Black hole spin, Accretion and Quasars.
The first rung of this anchor established that a black hole’s spin is measurable at all, which is remarkable given that a black hole has no surface, no features and no radius that anything can be laid against. The measurement works because the spin moves the last stable circular orbit: six gravitational radii for a hole that does not rotate, one for a hole at the theoretical limit, and nine for matter going the other way.
That is the whole of the observational content, and it is worth stating in that flat form because both spectral methods rely on it and neither is measuring anything else. Continuum fitting infers where the disc’s hottest emission comes from and calls that radius the last stable orbit. The iron line’s red wing is produced at the innermost radius from which the line is emitted, and that radius is called the last stable orbit. One length, one relation, two routes.
The consequence is not a caveat. It reverses the usual expectation that an extreme measurement is a fragile one.
The relation that does the work
The bunching is the whole story. Between a = 0 and a = 0.5 the orbit moves from six radii to 4.23 — a change of 1.77 over half the range. Between a = 0.99 and a = 0.999 it moves from 1.454 to 1.182, a change of 0.27 over a range a hundred times narrower. Differentiated, that is a factor of thirty in sensitivity.
It is worth seeing where the stiffness comes from, since it is not an accident of the algebra. The last stable orbit exists because the effective potential of a circular orbit loses its minimum below a certain radius, and in the extremal limit the coordinate radius of that orbit, the photon sphere and the horizon all coincide at one gravitational radius. Three distinct surfaces converging on one value is a degenerate limit, and quantities are always compressed near a degenerate limit — the proper distance between them stays finite and the coordinate difference does not. So the bunching in the figure is a coordinate artefact in one sense and an entirely real observational fact in another: what a spectrum measures is a coordinate radius, and that is the one that bunches.
What each method has to assume
Both methods measure a radius. They differ entirely in what else they need in order to do it.
Continuum fitting works from the thermal spectrum of the disc. A disc radiating locally as a blackbody at each radius produces a summed spectrum that is a stack of temperatures whose normalisation is proportional to the projected area of the emitting region — that is, to . Extracting in kilometres therefore needs the distance and the inclination; converting kilometres into gravitational radii needs the mass. Three external quantities, none of which the X-ray spectrum supplies. It is the method’s strength that its physics is simple and its weakness that it is parasitic on three other measurements.
The iron line works from the shape of a fluorescent line emitted by the disc’s surface. The line is broadened by the orbital motion, beamed by it, and redshifted by the hole’s gravity, and the red wing extends further the closer the emitting gas gets. Its enormous advantage is that a line profile is a shape: the distance divides out, the mass divides out, and the inclination is fitted from the profile’s own blue edge.
The methods are therefore not independent checks of one another in the way it is usually put. They share the physical assumption that carries all the risk — that the disc’s inner edge is at the last stable orbit and the emission stops there — and differ only in the auxiliary data each needs.
What could stop the disc somewhere else
That shared assumption is worth taking seriously, because there are several reasons a disc might not reach the last stable orbit.
At low accretion rate the inner disc can evaporate into a hot, thick, radiatively inefficient flow, leaving the thin disc truncated at tens or hundreds of gravitational radii. This is not a subtlety: the truncation radius in that state moves with the accretion rate, and it is why spin measurements are attempted only in the high-luminosity states where the thin disc is believed to extend inward.
At high accretion rate the disc thickens for the opposite reason, radiation pressure inflates it, and matter can begin to plunge from outside the last stable orbit. Both errors push the inferred radius outward, and by the figure above both therefore read as a slower hole.
There is a third possibility that is neither of those and is the most awkward, which is that the inner disc is not flat. A disc around a hole whose spin axis is tilted with respect to the orbital plane is torqued by frame dragging into alignment near the centre and left tilted further out, so the inner region warps. A warped disc presents a different projected area at every radius, which corrupts the continuum normalisation, and it emits its line from a surface that is not the plane the profile calculation assumes.
There is also emission from inside the last stable orbit. Matter crossing it does not vanish; it plunges, and it continues to radiate for the fraction of an orbit the crossing takes. That contribution is small in a thin disc and is not zero, and it pushes the inferred radius the other way.
Every one of these effects has the same character: it is a departure from a geometry that the measurement assumes rather than tests, and none of them shows up as a poor fit. A truncated disc fitted with an untruncated model returns a good fit and a lower spin. That is the signature of a systematic rather than a statistical error, and it is why the error bars quoted on individual spins are so much smaller than the disagreements between authors analysing the same data.
A spin measured with no spectrum at all
There is a third route to spin that shares none of these assumptions, and it does not measure a hole. It measures all of them at once.
The arithmetic is one line and it is worth writing out. If a mass density fell into black holes and each unit of it radiated a fraction of its rest energy, then the emitted energy density is and the mass left behind is . Dividing one by the other,
and both quantities on the right are measured. Nothing about any individual object appears.
Sołtan’s argument dates from 1982 and it is one of the cleanest things in the subject. It needs the quasar luminosity function integrated over redshift and a bolometric correction, and it needs the local black-hole mass density — which comes from the correlation between black-hole mass and bulge dispersion applied to a galaxy luminosity function. Neither ingredient is a spectrum of a black hole. Neither involves a distance to a particular object, an inclination, or a disc model beyond the assumption that the accretion was radiatively efficient.
The comparison between the two families is the useful thing. Individual spectral spins cluster high, at 0.9 and above, in a sample selected for being measurable. Sołtan’s average sits nearer 0.7 and is an average over everything that ever accreted, weighted by mass. Those are consistent with each other and with a picture in which most mass is swallowed at moderate spin while the objects bright enough to have their discs fitted are the fast ones — and they are also consistent with the spectral sample being biased, since the systematics all push the same way.
Why the holes are not all extremal
If accretion spins a hole up, and holes have been accreting for ten billion years, the natural expectation is that every one of them sits at the limit. It is not what is inferred, and the reason is a piece of physics with no free parameters.
The √6 is exact and is worth a line. The angular momentum a hole gains per unit mass swallowed is the specific angular momentum at the last stable orbit, and integrating from a non-rotating hole to the extremal limit gives — Bardeen’s result, from 1970, with no free parameter and no disc model beyond the assumption that matter arrives on circular orbits and crosses the last stable one. A factor of 2.45 in mass is a modest amount of accretion by the standards of quasar growth, which is why the expectation of high spin is a strong one.
Two further mechanisms keep real holes below even that. Accretion delivered in randomly oriented episodes spins a hole up and down alternately, and the random walk settles near a modest spin rather than at the ceiling; and a merger between two holes of comparable mass produces a remnant whose spin is set by the orbital angular momentum at the last stable orbit, which for random orientations averages around 0.7 — a process whose rate depends on whether the last parsec can be crossed at all.
That the observations, the Sołtan average and both theoretical arguments all land in the region of 0.7 to 0.9 is the strongest thing that can be said about black-hole spin at present. It is a convergence of four weak measurements rather than a strong one.
There is a useful asymmetry between those two. Chaotic accretion holds the spin down because each episode is small compared with the hole and randomly oriented, so the walk is unbiased; coherent accretion from a single large disc drives the spin up. The observed spins therefore say something about how the mass arrived rather than only how much, and a population of fast-spinning holes is evidence for prolonged accretion in a fixed plane — which is what a disc that has to throw its angular momentum outwards does over many orbits.
What is actually measured
Setting the chain out plainly is sobering in the same way it was for the virial factor.
For a continuum fit: an X-ray spectrum, a distance from a parallax or a kinematic model, an inclination from an optical light curve of the binary, a mass from the same, a disc atmosphere model that converts the observed colour temperature into an effective temperature through a hardening factor, and the assumption that the emission stops at the last stable orbit. The hardening factor alone is a fitted number between 1.5 and 1.9 that enters the fourth power of the temperature.
For an iron line: an X-ray spectrum with enough counts in the 3–10 keV band to distinguish a broad wing from the continuum underneath it, a model for that continuum, a model for absorption along the line of sight, an emissivity profile, and the same assumption about the inner edge. The most disputed spins in the literature are disputed over the continuum model rather than over the line.
The hardening factor deserves its own sentence because it is the least visible assumption in the whole business. A real disc atmosphere is scattering-dominated, so photons emerge having been scattered many times and carry a spectrum harder than a blackbody at the local temperature; the ratio of the observed colour temperature to the effective one is the hardening factor, it is computed from an atmosphere model, and the inferred radius goes as its square. A value of 1.7 rather than 1.6 moves the inferred radius by twelve per cent, which by this essay’s first figure is a substantial move in spin for a slow hole and almost none for a fast one.
Neither list contains a measurement of a black hole. Both contain a measurement of a spectrum and a chain of models, and the spin is the last link. That is not a criticism of the technique — nothing else is available for an object with no surface — but it is why the strongest constraint in the field remains the one that measures nothing in particular.
The spins that are not measured this way
Two other kinds of spin measurement exist and are worth setting beside these, because they fail differently.
A merging pair of black holes radiates a gravitational-wave signal whose phase depends on the components’ spins, and whose amplitude and polarisation precess if those spins are misaligned with the orbit. That is a measurement of an angular momentum as an angular momentum, with no accretion disc anywhere in it, and it comes from the same signal that gives a distance with no ladder under it. Its weakness is precision: the spin combination the waveform constrains best is a mass-weighted projection onto the orbital axis, and for most detected mergers it is consistent with zero. What that has established is not a set of spins but an absence — the holes that merge are not, in general, rapidly spinning in the orbital plane’s direction, which is itself informative about how they were assembled.
And the shadow. An image of the emission around a hole shows a dark region whose diameter is set almost entirely by the mass and whose shape is very weakly dependent on spin. The asymmetry a fast spin produces is a few per cent of the diameter, which is below what the two published images resolve. The measurement that image made cleanly is a mass; the spin is inferred from the surrounding structure and the polarisation, with the same modelling chain as everything else in this essay.
The generalisation
The structure worth extracting is that a stiff conversion is a good conversion, and the intuition runs the other way.
Where the relation between the observable and the quantity is steep, an error in the observable produces a small error in the quantity. Every spin measurement in this essay is one length converted through the ISCO relation, and that relation is steep exactly where the spins are extreme. The consequence — that the most extreme claims are the best supported — is the opposite of the usual heuristic that an extraordinary result needs extraordinary evidence, and it is a case where the heuristic is wrong for a computable reason.
There is a second reading, less comfortable, which is about what a sample of measurements means when the systematics all point one way. Every effect in this essay that could stop the disc outside the last stable orbit reads as a slower hole, and none reads as a faster one. A distribution of measured spins that piles up near the extremal limit is therefore exactly what a biased-low method applied to genuinely extremal holes would produce, and also exactly what an unbiased method applied to moderately spinning holes could not produce. The pile-up is evidence, and the Sołtan average sitting lower than the individual measurements is the sort of tension that a one-sided systematic predicts.
The same shape appears wherever a measurement is made near a singular limit. The mass a cold star cannot exceed is approached along a radius–mass relation that steepens to vertical, so a white dwarf near the limit has its mass better determined by its radius than one far below it. Look at the derivative before deciding which end of a range is the safe one.
Where the ladder goes next
The next rung leaves the spectrum for the shadow. A hole’s photon sphere and the ring of light around it are geometric consequences of the same two numbers, and the shape of that ring — its diameter, and its asymmetry — depends on spin and inclination in a way an image can constrain directly. The measurement has been made for two objects, and what it gives is a mass with almost no model in it and a spin with a great deal.
Further rungs on this anchor: the quasi-periodic oscillations whose frequencies would be a spin measurement if anybody knew which resonance produced them; the spins of the holes that merge, read off the gravitational-wave signal’s precession, which is the only method that observes spin as an angular momentum rather than through its effect on matter; jet power against spin, which is the Blandford–Znajek prediction and the least conclusive of all the tests; and the spin of the hole at the centre of the Galaxy, which is measured by four techniques that do not agree.
What links here
Essays that link to this one from their own argument.
The objects this essay names
Each one links to every other essay that touches it.
Accretion discBlack hole spinContinuum fittingFrame draggingInnermost stable circular orbitIron lineKerr metricRadiative efficiencyRelativistic beamingSoltan argument