Astronomy & Celestial Mechanics
the sky, computed
Generator

The planet-radius-distribution generator

A gap where planets should be
A gap where planets should be. The number of planets per star per interval of log radius, for orbital periods under a hundred days, corrected for detection efficiency. There are two peaks — super-Earths near 1.3 R⊕ and sub-Neptunes near 2.4 R⊕ — and a deficit between them at 1.89 R⊕, where the occurrence falls to 33% of the peak. The gap is not a gap in what can be detected: detection efficiency rises smoothly through it, so a smooth underlying distribution could not produce a dip there.

The number of planets per star per interval of log radius, for orbital periods under a hundred days, corrected for detection efficiency. There are two peaks — super-Earths near 1.3 R⊕ and sub-Neptunes near 2.4 R⊕ — and a deficit between them at 1.89 R⊕, where the occurrence falls to 33% of the peak. The gap is not a gap in what can be detected: detection efficiency rises smoothly through it, so a smooth underlying distribution could not produce a dip there.

4 essays call planet-radius-distribution. The drawing above is what it returns with no arguments at all; every call below passes it something, because a placement that passes nothing draws whichever member of the family the generator happens to default to rather than the one its essay argues about.

Where it is called

Every figure listed here is the same construction drawn at different numbers, so a correction to one is a correction to all of them.

A gap where planets should be. The number of planets per star per interval of log radius, for orbital periods under a hundred days, corrected for detection efficiency. There are two peaks — super-Earths near 1.3 R⊕ and sub-Neptunes near 2.4 R⊕ — and a deficit between them at 1.89 R⊕, where the occurrence falls to 33% of the peak. The gap is not a gap in what can be detected: detection efficiency rises smoothly through it, so a smooth underlying distribution could not produce a dip there. Exoplanets

The planets that were not seen

An occurrence rate is a count divided by a probability, and the probability can be a five-hundredth. Everything difficult about saying how common planets are lives in that denominator.

 A gap where planets should be. The number of planets per star per interval of log radius, for orbital periods under a hundred days, corrected for detection efficiency. There are two peaks — super-Earths near 1.3 R⊕ and sub-Neptunes near 2.4 R⊕ — and a deficit between them at 1.89 R⊕, where the occurrence falls to 33% of the peak. The gap is not a gap in what can be detected: detection efficiency rises smoothly through it, so a smooth underlying distribution could not produce a dip there. Exoplanets

A gap in a histogram that says how planets are built

Between the super-Earths and the sub-Neptunes there is a radius at which planets are markedly rarer. The gap is not a gap in what can be detected, and its slope with orbital period names the process that made it.

 A gap 1 per cent deep that became 63. The distribution of planet radii, drawn three ways: the underlying distribution with a gap in it, the same distribution convolved with a 25 per cent stellar radius error, and convolved with a 5 per cent one. Every planet radius is the transit depth's square root multiplied by a stellar radius, so an error in the star is an error in the planet, and a population of planets inherits the population of stellar errors as a smearing. The gap is 1 per cent deep at the old precision and 63 at the new one, and its centre does not move — a symmetric smearing hides a feature without displacing it. That is what happened when parallaxes for a hundred thousand planet hosts arrived: no new planets were observed, and a feature that had been marginal became unambiguous. Exoplanets

A planet radius is a stellar radius

A transit measures a ratio and nothing else. Every planet radius ever published is that ratio multiplied by a stellar radius that came from somewhere entirely different, so a population of planets inherits the errors of a population of stars — and when the stars were measured better, a feature nobody could see became unmistakable.

 How long a planet's hydrogen lasts, against how much of it there is. The time a young Sun-like star's saturated X-ray and ultraviolet output would take to remove a planet's whole hydrogen envelope, at 100 times the Earth's insolation, against the envelope's share of the planet's mass, for cores of 3, 5, 8 Earth masses. It is computed with energy-limited escape and an interior fit for the envelope's thickness, and it is not monotonic. A heavy envelope takes long to remove because there is a lot of it. A very light one takes long because the planet is small and intercepts little light. In between the time peaks, and it peaks where the envelope has swollen the planet most for its mass: 3 Earth masses at an envelope of 1.9 per cent, 129 Myr, where the envelope is 1.31 times as thick as the core's radius; 5 Earth masses at an envelope of 2.8 per cent, 364 Myr, where the envelope is 1.30 times as thick as the core's radius; 8 Earth masses at an envelope of 4.0 per cent, 946 Myr, where the envelope is 1.30 times as thick as the core's radius. The peak is what makes a valley. A planet above it losing gas moves up the curve, its remaining envelope lasting longer and longer, and settles; a planet below it moves down, lasting less and less, and loses everything. The horizontal lines are the saturated phase, 100 Myr, and the 300 Myr of saturated-equivalent exposure the whole history delivers: a core whose peak lies below the second line cannot keep any envelope at all. Exoplanets

The envelope that doubles a planet lasts longest

The gap in the radii of small planets is not merely a place where planets are rare — it is nearly empty, and the reason is a peak. The time a young star needs to strip a planet's hydrogen is longest for the envelope that swells the planet to a little over twice its core's size. Anything thinner runs away to nothing, and anything thicker settles back towards the peak.

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