Concept

Reference frame — where it appears

The set of directions a position is measured against, realised in practice by a catalogue of objects whose own motions are known or assumed zero. The modern one is defined by extragalactic radio sources, whose distances make their proper motions unmeasurable and therefore genuinely zero.

Named by 7 essays across 2 fields — each of them below, with the objects they name alongside it.

Mars to five metres and Neptune to five thousand kilometres, in the same file. Present-day heliocentric position uncertainty for each planet, in kilometres, with the range component marked separately below it. The two differ because a transponder measures a distance along the line of sight and says nothing about the two directions across it, so a planet with an orbiter is known radially some 17 times better than it is known altogether. Neptune is 10⁶ times less well determined than Mars and only 20 times further away, which is the whole point: the accuracy is a property of the observations, not of the geometry. Mars has carried a transponder almost continuously since 1976; Neptune has been visited once, in 1989, and everything else known about it is meridian-circle astrometry covering 1.07 of one orbit. The two ice giants are the only entries here whose ephemerides are still limited by nineteenth-century technology, and the only cure is a spacecraft.

The table that is a fit

A planetary ephemeris is not evaluated from Kepler's laws and is not evaluated from a theory. It is a numerical integration whose starting conditions were least-squares fitted to a century and a half of observations, and its accuracy is a property of those observations rather than of the mathematics.

orbits · Ephemerides
The wobble inside the wobble. Left: the two components of nutation over 40 years, from the four largest terms of the standard series. The long wave is the regression of the Moon's node in 18.613 years, which is where nearly all of it comes from; the ripple on it is the semi-annual solar term at 1.3″ and the semi-monthly lunar one at 0.2″. Right: the loop the pole actually traces over one node cycle, in arcseconds on the sky, with the mean pole at the centre. The loop is 14.89″ by 19.90″ — taller than it is wide, because the longitude term is foreshortened by sin ε while the obliquity term is not, which is the one thing a schematic of this is always drawn getting wrong. Over the same 18.6 years precession itself carries the pole 936″ along its circle, 47 times the loop's own height, so nutation is a wobble on a path and not a path. It is nonetheless 99,480 times the 0.2 mas astrometry of a modern catalogue, which is why a position has to say whether it is referred to the mean pole or the true one.

The wobble inside the wobble

Precession and nutation are the same torque. The difference is that the Moon's orbital plane turns once in 18.6 years, so part of the pull oscillates instead of accumulating — and a catalogue position is not a direction until it says which pole it is measured from.

sky · Precession
One path, five numbers. Left: the apparent path of a star over 4 years, with a proper motion of 193 mas a year and a parallax of 50 mas, at ecliptic latitude 42°. It is one curve and there is nothing in the sky it can be compared against — the reference stars have paths of their own. Right: the same path with a straight line taken out of it. What is left is an ellipse of semi-major axis 50.0 mas and semi-minor axis 33.5 mas, closed and repeating once a year. The two are separated by their time signatures and by nothing else: proper motion is secular and parallax is annual, in a phase the Earth's position fixes in advance. That is why the five parameters can be told apart at all, and why an astrometric catalogue quotes five rather than two — a position without them is a position at one instant, which is not a direction to anything.

Five numbers from one wiggle

A star's path across a plate is a straight line with a one-year ellipse laid on it. Nothing measures either alone — one fit yields five parameters at once, and they are separable only because their time signatures differ.

sky · Parallax
The same ellipse at 955 times the size, and a quarter of a year out of step. The aberration ellipse (solid) and the parallax ellipse (dashed) for γ Draconis at four ecliptic latitudes, drawn to one scale. Aberration is v/c towards the Earth's own direction of travel, so its ellipse has semi-major axis 20.49551″ for every star in the sky; parallax is 1/d towards the Sun, so its semi-major axis is that star's own 0.02147″ — 955 times smaller, and drawn 955 times smaller here. At the ecliptic pole both are circles; on the ecliptic both collapse to lines; in between both are ellipses of semi-minor axis sin β times the major, and the ratio is identical at every latitude because both effects project the same way. The marks are the same four dates on each: they are a quarter of a year apart between the two, because the aberration displacement follows the Earth's velocity and the parallax displacement follows its position, and velocity leads position by 90° on a circular orbit. That quarter-year is the only thing distinguishing the two phenomena on the sky, and it is why Bradley, looking for the dashed ellipse in 1728, spent months unable to interpret the solid one he had found instead.

The other twenty arcseconds

Every star in the sky traces a small ellipse over a year, of the same shape as its parallax ellipse and 90° out of step with it — and the same size for all of them, near or far. Bradley found it in 1728 while hunting for parallax, and it proved the Earth moves a century before anything's distance was known.

sky · Aberration
Every quasar in the sky streaming at 5.23 µas a year towards one point. Above: the apparent proper motion of distant quasars, drawn in Galactic coordinates with the centre of the Galaxy at the origin. Quasars do not move — at their distances a real transverse velocity of a thousand kilometres a second would be a hundredth of a microarcsecond a year — so a pattern in their apparent motions is a statement about the observer. Annual aberration displaces every source by v/c and returns it a year later; the Sun's velocity is not constant, and a changing displacement does not return. The Sun is being accelerated towards the centre of the Galaxy at 2.4·10⁻¹⁰ m s⁻², so the aberration vector rotates at a/c and the whole sky streams towards the same point, at (a/c) sin θ for a source θ from it. Below: that amplitude against angle from the apex, with the fitted dipole and the measurement. A circular speed of 248 km s⁻¹ at 8.28 kiloparsecs predicts 5.23 microarcseconds a year; the measured dipole in the proper motions of 1.6 million quasars is 5.05 ± 0.35, pointing to within a few degrees of the Galactic centre. The picture cannot show what took so long: the effect is a twenty-thousandth of annual aberration, it accumulates over the whole mission rather than over a year, and it is degenerate with any real rotation of the quasar frame — so a measurement of the acceleration of the solar system is also, unavoidably, an assumption that the distant universe does not turn.

The whole sky drifting towards one point

Annual aberration is the Earth's velocity, and it closes every year. The Sun's velocity is not constant, so the same effect leaves a residue that never closes — every quasar in the sky creeping towards the Galactic centre at five microarcseconds a year, which is a direct measurement of the Sun's acceleration.

sky · Aberration
A frame whose precision stops improving because its sources move. The uncertainty in the orientation of a celestial reference frame, in microarcseconds, against the number of extragalactic sources it is built from. The falling line is what averaging alone would give: each source's position is measured to about 200 microarcseconds and combining N of them improves the frame as one over the square root of N. The upper curve adds the part that does not average down in the same way — the wander of a quasar's radio centroid as new components are ejected along its jet, which is a real motion of the thing being used as a fixed point. Three catalogue generations are marked. The frame gained an order of magnitude in a quarter of a century, and it gained it by observing more sources rather than by observing any of them better, which is the signature of a limit that is in the objects rather than in the instrument.

A frame made of things that are not points

Every position in astronomy is measured against a set of objects declared to be fixed. The objects chosen are quasars, because they are the most distant things there are — and each of them is a jet whose radio brightness centre wanders by tens of microarcseconds as new material is ejected from the core.

sky · Celestial sphere
The astrometry an occultation campaign has to have. How far the shadow lands from where it was predicted, against the angular error in the positions it was predicted from, for a Centaur at 15 AU, a Kuiper belt object at 40 AU, Uranus at 19 AU. The conversion is one line — an angle times a distance — and one milliarcsecond at one astronomical unit is 0.7255 kilometres. The horizontal bands are each body's own shadow width, which is its diameter, and the crossing is the accuracy at which a campaign stops being a lottery: a Centaur needs 23.0 mas, a Kuiper belt object needs 4.1 mas, Uranus needs 3701.0 mas. Before the all-sky astrometric surveys the typical error was tens of milliarcseconds, which is thousands of kilometres at these distances, so events by small bodies were found by accident and not by appointment. The same event then measures the body's position to a few milliarcseconds or better, which improves the ephemeris that predicts the next one.

Each event pays for the prediction of the next

An occultation is predicted from two positions and lands where the arithmetic says. Recording it then measures the occulting body's position to a few milliarcseconds — better than a year of imaging — so the observation that the prediction made possible improves the ephemeris the next prediction comes from.

sky · Occultations

Named alongside it

The objects these essays reach for when they reach for this one.

Proper motionAberrationAstrometrySystematic errorEphemerisEpochParallaxQuasarSolar apexAsteroid massAstrometric predictionAstrometric solution

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