Astronomy & Celestial Mechanics
the sky, computed
Concept

Hellings downs curve — where it appears

The correlation a gravitational-wave background induces between two pulsars' timing residuals, as a function of the angle between them. It is positive for close pairs, negative near 82° and averages to zero over an evenly covered sky.

Named by 2 essays across 2 fields — each of them below, with the objects they name alongside it.

Nothing visible in any pulsar, and a quadrupole in the angle between them. Above: 4 millisecond pulsars' timing residuals over 15 years, at the few hundred nanoseconds a good one reaches. Each wanders, and none of them shows anything a reader could call a signal; a gravitational-wave background of amplitude 2.4·10⁻¹⁵ at one cycle per year contributes a common part to all of them that is smaller than each pulsar's own red noise. Below: the correlation between pairs, against the angle on the sky between them. 2211 pairs out of 67 pulsars, binned into 15 angles, against three curves with no free parameters between them. A quadrupolar background gives the Hellings–Downs shape — positive for nearby pulsars, negative near 83°, and back up to exactly half its zero-separation value at 180° because a background looks the same in opposite directions. An error in the observatory clock would give a flat line, because it shifts every pulsar identically. An error in the solar-system ephemeris would give a cosine, because it moves the barycentre in one direction. The drawn points prefer the quadrupole over the flat line by Δχ² = 358. That is the detection: not a waveform, not an event, not a moment — a shape in an angle, accumulated over fifteen years, on data taken for another purpose entirely.

A detector the size of the galaxy

At a nanohertz no instrument can be built, so the clocks already in the sky are used instead. The signal is in no single pulsar's data — it is in the correlation between pairs as a function of the angle between them, and that curve has no free parameters at all.

gravitation · Gravitational waves One pulsar's stability, limited by the background every pulsar shares. The cubic-fit stability of a single millisecond pulsar, on logarithmic axes, against averaging time from 0.3 to 40 years. White timing noise of 100 ns every 14 days averages down as τ^(−3/2) (falling dashed line). The gravitational-wave background at the amplitude the timing arrays reported in 2023, A = 2.4·10⁻¹⁵, raises the curve as τ^(2/3) (rising dashed line). Their sum (solid) is lowest at 2.8 years, at 2.8·10⁻¹⁵; averaging longer than that makes this pulsar a worse clock, not a better one, because the background grows faster in the residuals than the white noise shrinks. At ten years the background alone is 5.5·10⁻¹⁵.

A clock whose best interval is three years

A pulsar time scale was expected to improve for as long as anyone kept timing it. The background the timing arrays found in 2023 says otherwise — a single pulsar is steadiest over about three years and worse over every longer interval, and how far an array of them can push that floor down depends less on how many pulsars it holds than on how evenly they cover the sky.

sky · Timescales

Named alongside it

The objects these essays reach for when they reach for this one.

Gravitational-wave backgroundMillisecond pulsarA pulsar timing arrayRed noiseAllan deviationCharacteristic strainChirp massClock ensembleCorrelationPulsar time scaleQuadrupoleSolar system ephemeris

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