Concept

Secular variation — where it appears

A change in an orbital element that does not return, accumulating without bound and so outgrowing every periodic term however small it starts. It is what averaging over the fast angles leaves behind, and the elements that are constant in the resulting linear system are what identify an asteroid family.

Named by 6 essays across 4 fields — each of them below, with the objects they name alongside it.

The osculating semi-major axis of a perturbed orbit. The semi-major axis a test particle would have if the perturber vanished, computed from its position and velocity at every step of an integration over 26 orbits of the perturber. It is not constant: a short-period ripple rides on a slow trend, and only the trend accumulates.

Elements that do not stay constant

Six numbers fix an orbit for all time, and the phrase is only true in a universe containing two bodies. Add a third and the six start moving — some of them wandering and returning, one or two of them drifting in one direction forever, and the difference between those two behaviours is the whole of celestial mechanics after Newton.

orbits · Perturbations
Integrating the measured recession back: the Moon reaches the Earth 1.54 Gyr ago. The Earth–Moon separation and the length of the Earth's day, integrated backwards from the measured present recession rate of 3.83 cm per year. Constant-Q tidal friction makes a^(13/2) linear in time, so the history is a single line in a variable nobody plots, and it is calibrated to the laser-ranging measurement rather than to a modelled k₂/Q — the k₂/Q it implies is 0.0257, or Q = 11.6 for the Earth's k₂ of 0.299, which is a startlingly dissipative Earth. Run back at that rate the separation reaches zero 1.54 Gyr ago and crosses the Roche limit at 2.88 Earth radii only 4 years before it, so the drawing is cut off there rather than extrapolated. The Moon is 4.5 Gyr old, so this is a refutation and not a date: the present rate cannot have been the rate, and a mean Q of 34 — drawn dashed, reaching 4.51 Gyr — is the sort of value the age requires. Tidal rhythmites at 620 Myr put the day at 21.9 h and the Moon at 96.5 per cent of its present distance, and this history reads 20.1 h and 92.4 per cent — too fast and too close, which is the same failure the zero crossing is. Day length follows from total angular momentum, 23.93 h today, 9.84 h at half the present lunar distance and 4.97 h at the Roche limit, and depends on the separation alone: it is the same curve whatever Q is. The rate of lengthening the recession requires is 2.10 ms per century, against a tidal total of about 2.3 including the Sun's tide, which slows the Earth without moving the Moon, and an observed 1.75 from ancient eclipses and occultations — the shortfall being the Earth's moment of inertia falling as the mantle rebounds from the last glaciation.

A day five hours long

The tidal bulge leads, so the Earth's spin is being paid into the Moon's orbit. Run the measured payment backwards and two curves come out of one integration — a timeline that is refuted by the Moon's own age, and a day length that is refuted by nothing.

gravitation · Tides
PSR B1913+16: 45 years of periastron arriving 88 seconds early. The cumulative shift of periastron passage for PSR B1913+16, Δt = ½(Ṗ_b/P_b)T², over 45 years from its discovery in 1975. The orbital period is 0.322997449 days and is measured to be shortening at 2.423e-12 seconds per second — a change in the twelfth decimal place, which over a career accumulates to 87.5 seconds. That is the whole reason the effect is measurable. Ṗ_b is taken here as a measured quantity and no radiated power is derived from it; the parabola is the general-relativistic prediction as published, and the points are that prediction scaled by the published ratio of observed to predicted decay, 0.997 ± 0.002 (Hulse & Taylor 1975; Weisberg & Huckins 2016), which is how the agreement is quoted. The error bars are drawn: at the last point the bar is 1.25 px tall against a dot 9 pixels across, so they are invisible, and their invisibility is the result. The campaign has run 45 years.

An orbit measured to be shrinking

A 7.75-hour orbital period that shortens by 68 nanoseconds each turn is beyond any single measurement, and unmissable after fifty thousand of them, because the shift accumulates as the square of the elapsed time. Forty-five years of pulse arrival times have made it 87.5 seconds, which is why the rate is a measured quantity rather than an inferred one.

gravitation · Relativistic orbits
An oscillation that does not matter, on a ramp that does. Stored angular momentum in a reaction wheel over 160 days at 550 kilometres, with a capacity of 25 newton metre seconds. The total environmental torque is 1.75e-4 newton metres, of which 35 per cent is taken to survive averaging over an orbit. The fast oscillation is the part that does not survive: it has the 95.6-minute orbital period, reaches 0.10 newton metre seconds, and returns to where it started every revolution, so it consumes capacity and nothing else. The ramp under it is the secular part, and its slope measured between two instants a whole number of orbits apart is 6.117e-5 newton metres, which is the secular torque and is how the figure checks itself. The wheel fills in 4.7 days and has to be emptied 33 times in the span drawn. Every attitude-controlled spacecraft in the collection lives on this sawtooth, and the vertical drops are the only part of it that costs anything: the store can be moved between wheels for nothing, and taken out of the vehicle only by pushing against something outside it.

The spin that has to be put somewhere

A spacecraft holding an attitude is not resisting a force. It is absorbing a slow, one-directional trickle of angular momentum from the gradient of gravity across its own body, from sunlight, from the last of the atmosphere — and every store it has for that trickle fills up.

spaceflight · Attitude control
The two halves of what is left over. The disturbing potential of a perturber on a test particle, against the difference in longitude between them, at a semi-major axis ratio of 0.62. The upper curve is the direct term — the perturber's own attraction, which peaks at conjunction where the separation is smallest and falls to 1/(1+α) half a turn later. The lower one is the indirect term, which exists only because the coordinates are centred on a primary that is itself being accelerated, and which is a pure cosine of the longitude difference. The indirect term is the larger of the two over 3 per cent of the circle, and it averages to exactly zero while the direct term averages to something positive. Everything that happens slowly in a planetary system comes from that asymmetry: the part that survives averaging is not the part that dominates the instantaneous force.

The series that is subtracted

The two-body problem is solved, so nobody solves it twice. Every planetary theory since Newton begins by taking that solution away and asking what is left — and what is left is an infinite series whose terms are stacked in a hierarchy that makes the first half-dozen of them enough.

orbits · Perturbations
A limb 6.2 kilometres from its highest point to its lowest. The Moon's edge, drawn as the height of the local horizon above a mean circle, against position angle around the limb. The profile has an root-mean-square amplitude of 1.2 kilometres and reaches 3.1 at its extremes, which at the Moon's distance is 3.35 arcseconds — against a solar radius of 960. The valleys marked are the places where sunlight survives longest at second contact and reappears first at third, which is what produces Baily's beads. Every eclipse timing is a measurement of when a particular point of this profile crossed the solar limb, so extracting a solar diameter from a contact time requires the profile at the libration of that day, to a precision of a few hundred metres.

A solar radius measured past a mountain range

The most accurate way to measure the Sun's diameter is to time an eclipse. What is timed is the moment sunlight vanishes behind the Moon's edge — and the Moon's edge is a horizon with mountains on it, so the measurement is a difference between the Sun's limb and a lunar landscape that has to be supplied from somewhere else.

sky · Phases and eclipses

Named alongside it

The objects these essays reach for when they reach for this one.

Angular momentumDisturbing functionLibrationOsculating elementsAngular momentum transportApsidal precessionAtmospheric dragAttitude controlBailys beadsBarycentreBinary pulsarContact timing

All concepts