Cosmology

An abundance with no direction to correct in

Every primordial abundance is measured today and extrapolated backwards, and the extrapolation works because processing moves each species one way. Helium-3 is made by small stars and destroyed by large ones, so the sign of its correction is not merely uncertain — it is unknown.

Assumes Nucleosynthesis, Stellar evolution and Chemical evolution.

Every primordial abundance in this subject is measured in the present and used to constrain the past, and every one of them rests on the same unstated step: the material observed today has been through stars, the stars changed it, and the change has to be undone. The undoing is what makes the measurement possible, and it works for exactly the reason nobody states — for deuterium and for helium the change has a direction.

Deuterium is destroyed by every star and made by none, so the observed abundance is a floor under the primordial one and the correction is upward, whatever the star-formation history was. Helium is made by stars and destroyed by none, so the observed abundance in a metal-poor galaxy is a ceiling and the correction is downward. Neither statement requires a model of the Galaxy. Both are consequences of what a star does to a nucleus, and the extrapolation to zero metallicity that both measurements perform is legitimate because of them.

Helium-3 has no such statement attached, and the consequence is that no primordial ³He abundance appears anywhere in the literature — not as a poorly determined number with a wide error bar, but as no number at all. The network predicts one, cleanly: about one part in a hundred thousand at the density everything else agrees on. There is simply nothing to compare it with.

That absence is worth dwelling on because it is a different kind of gap from the ones this collection usually reports. A quantity can be unmeasured because the instrument is not good enough, which is a statement about the present, or because the object is too far away, which is a statement about geometry. This one is unmeasured because the arithmetic that would turn an observation into a primordial value has an unknown sign in it, and no improvement in the observation touches that.

Two species whose corrections have a sign, and one that does not. The fractional change each light species undergoes per unit of gas processed through stars, against the fraction of the ³He present that a star returns rather than burns. Deuterium is a horizontal line at −1: every deuteron entering a star is destroyed and none is made, whatever the star is, so an observed D/H is a floor under the primordial value and the extrapolation has a direction. ⁴He is a horizontal line above zero for the same reason in reverse — stars make helium and destroy none — so an observed Y is a ceiling. ³He is the sloping line, and it crosses zero at g₃ = 0.282, which is the survival fraction at which the ³He a star returns exactly replaces the ³He it consumed. Above that fraction processing raises the abundance and an observation is a ceiling; below it processing lowers the abundance and the same observation is a floor. Stellar models put g₃ anywhere from about 0.1 to nearly 1 depending on how much extra mixing is allowed on the red-giant branch, which straddles the crossing — so the direction of the correction from what is observed to what was primordial is not merely uncertain in size, it is unknown in sign. That is why no primordial ³He abundance is quoted anywhere, and it is not a gap in the observations.
Fig. 1 The fractional change each light species undergoes per unit of gas processed through stars, against the fraction of the ³He present that a star returns rather than burns. Deuterium is a horizontal line at −1 and ⁴He a horizontal line above zero: neither depends on the fraction, because neither species has both a source and a sink in stars. ³He is the sloping line, and it crosses zero at g₃ = 0.282 — the fraction at which what a star gives back exactly replaces what it consumed. Stellar models put g₃ anywhere from about 0.1 to nearly 1 depending on how much extra mixing is allowed on the red-giant branch, which straddles the crossing.

What a star does to a helium-3 nucleus, twice

The reason ³He has both a source and a sink is that it sits in the middle of the proton–proton chain, and a star is not one temperature.

Every deuteron entering a star is converted to ³He almost immediately — D(p,γ)³He runs at a million kelvin, which is well below the temperature at the base of any main-sequence star’s convective envelope. So a star swallows a galaxy’s deuterium and hands back helium-3 in its place. That is the source, and it is the reason the two species have to be discussed together rather than separately.

The sink is ³He(³He,2p)⁴He, which needs about seven million kelvin, and the outer parts of a low-mass star never get there. In a star of about one solar mass the ³He therefore builds up in a shell at intermediate depth — hot enough to make it out of deuterium and hydrogen, too cool to destroy it — and when the star loses its envelope on the asymptotic giant branch, that shell is returned to the interstellar medium. A star of three solar masses is hot enough throughout the region that matters and returns very little. The yield changes sign somewhere between them.

The shell exists because of a coincidence of two temperatures rather than by design, and its width is what decides everything. p(p,e⁺ν)D is the slowest step in the whole chain and it feeds ³He at a rate that rises steeply with temperature; ³He(³He,2p)⁴He removes it at a rate that rises more steeply still, because it is a reaction between two charge-two nuclei. There is therefore a band of temperature in which the first has switched on and the second has not, and in the Sun that band sits at about a third of the radius. The equilibrium ³He abundance there is a hundred times its surface value, and the material below it has essentially none. A star that keeps that band and then sheds the layers above it returns helium-3; a star that mixes the band into hotter material destroys it. Which of those a star does is a question about circulation rather than about nuclear physics, and circulation is the least well determined thing in stellar structure.

One population, three integrals, two ends. The same mass function weighted three ways, each normalised so that the area under it is one, against mass on a logarithmic axis — so a share of the page is a share of the total. The light is a zero-age population's, every star still on the main sequence, which is the only age at which the top of the range is present at all. The steep curve on the left is the number of stars, which peaks at 0.08 M☉ and falls away because the function is steeper than m⁻¹; the middle one is the mass they carry; the one on the right is the light they emit, computed from this file's own main-sequence relation and peaking at 55.2 M☉ — 685 times further up the axis. The population that is counted and the population that is seen are two different populations. Above 8 M☉ there are 0.60% of the stars, 18% of the mass and 99% of the light. The slopes are α = 1.3 above 0.08 M☉, α = 2.3 above 0.5 M☉, and the low-mass end is where the honesty runs out: it has never been measured in another galaxy, and every mass inferred from a luminosity assumes it.
Fig. 2 The initial mass function, and the three integrals over it that disagree. Most of the mass that stars are made of goes into objects above a solar mass; most of the number of stars is below it; most of the mass that is eventually returned to the interstellar medium comes from a narrow band in between. Helium-3’s net yield is positive for the low-mass end and negative above roughly two solar masses, so the net Galactic yield is an integral of a quantity that changes sign, weighted by a function that is itself only known to a factor of two at the ends. That is a poor position from which to predict a sign.

The complication nobody expected

The account above is the one that stood until the 1990s, and it has a well-known problem: it predicts far more helium-3 in the Galaxy than is observed.

The measurements are made in H II regions and planetary nebulae, using the 8.665 GHz hyperfine transition of singly ionised ³He — the exact analogue of hydrogen’s 21 cm line, in a species with one electron and a nuclear spin of a half. The physics is identical: an unpaired electron spin can be parallel or antiparallel to the nuclear spin, the two states differ by a tiny energy, and a transition between them emits a photon whose frequency is set by nuclear magnetic moments. ³He’s moment is larger than the proton’s and the ion has a hydrogen-like orbital, which is why the line sits at 3.5 cm rather than 21.

It is a hard measurement in every respect. The line is a few parts in ten thousand of the free-free continuum it sits on, so it is detected as a small ripple on a large signal and the continuum has to be subtracted at that precision. The abundance derived is not ³He/H but ³He⁺/H⁺, so it needs the ionisation structure of the region — how much of the helium is singly ionised where the hydrogen is — and getting that wrong biases the answer in a direction that is common to every region observed. And the strongest sources are the most massive H II regions, which are the ones whose gas has been most recently processed. What comes out of it is roughly ³He/H between one and two parts in a hundred thousand, nearly everywhere, and standard chemical evolution with ³He yields from classical stellar models predicts several times that in the inner Galaxy.

A gradient whose direction is not predicted. Helium-3 against distance from the Galactic centre, in the same one-pass model, for three values of the fraction a star returns. The inner disc has processed most of its gas and the outer disc has processed little, so the gas fraction runs from 0.04 at 4 kpc to 0.50 at 16, and every species with a stellar source shows a gradient across it. Helium-3's gradient changes direction inside the family drawn: at g₃ = 1 the inner disc holds 1.52 times the outer, and at g₃ = 0.25 it holds 0.94 times. The shaded band is what the observations show — ³He/H between 1 and 2 × 10⁻⁵ in H II regions across the disc, measured from the 8.665 GHz hyperfine line of ³He⁺, with no significant gradient in thirty years of looking. A flat distribution is what a species with a small net yield looks like, and it is therefore consistent with the crossing rather than with either side of it. The figure is drawn to make a negative point: this is the observation that would have settled the sign, it has been made, and it does not settle it.
Fig. 3 Helium-3 against distance from the Galactic centre in a one-pass model, for three values of the fraction a star returns. The inner disc has processed most of its gas and the outer disc has processed little, so any species with a stellar source shows a gradient. Helium-3’s gradient changes direction inside the family: at g₃ = 1 the inner disc holds 1.52 times the outer, and at g₃ = 0.25 it holds 0.94 times. The shaded band is what the radio line shows across the whole disc, with no significant gradient in thirty years of looking — which is consistent with the crossing rather than with either side of it.

The resolution that emerged is that most low-mass stars destroy their own helium-3 after all, through a mixing process that classical stellar models do not contain. Above the point on the red-giant branch where the hydrogen-burning shell erases the composition discontinuity left by the convective envelope, the shell’s own ³He-burning creates an inversion in the mean molecular weight — the material above is heavier than the material below — and that inversion is unstable to a slow, salt-fingering circulation. The circulation carries ³He down into hotter material and destroys it.

The mechanism is the same thermohaline mixing that turns up in the lithium problem’s stellar resolution, and the two are not independent problems with a shared explanation; they are one piece of missing physics appearing in two abundances. It also explains the carbon isotope ratios in evolved low-mass stars, which classical models get wrong in the same direction, and the lithium and carbon on the red-giant branch drop at the same evolutionary point rather than at points that happen to be near each other. Three discrepant abundances resolved by one absent circulation is the strongest evidence any of them has.

The efficiency of the mixing is a free parameter, and it is the same free parameter in all three cases, which is what makes the argument better than a fit. A model tuned to the carbon isotopes predicts the lithium drop and predicts a ³He survival fraction, and those predictions are checked rather than adjusted. They come out on the low side of the sign-change value — which would mean the correction to ³He is downward and the observed abundance is a floor — and they come out on the low side by less than the spread among the models. That is the honest state: the sign is probably known and is not known.

There is a second, older piece of evidence pointing the other way, and it is why nobody treats the question as settled. A handful of planetary nebulae show ³He/H around 10⁻³, a hundred times the interstellar value, which is exactly what a low-mass star that did not mix would return. If those measurements are right, some stars destroy their helium-3 and some do not, the Galactic yield is an average over two populations, and the sign question becomes a question about what fraction of stars mix. The mass a star does not keep is difficult enough to determine on its own; the composition of what it does not keep is worse.

What survives, and it is an inequality

Nothing above is a measurement of primordial helium-3, and none of it is going to become one. What survives is a statement about the pair.

A deuteron entering a star becomes ³He. A fraction of the ³He present is returned. Nothing makes deuterium. So the sum D + ³He can only move from one member to the other and then decrease, whatever any star does, and that is enough.

What stars do to deuterium, to helium-3, and to their sum. Abundances against the fraction of the gas that has never been inside a star, running from unprocessed on the left to heavily processed on the right, in a one-pass model: gas that has been through a star returns with its deuterium burned to ³He and a fraction g₃ of the total ³He surviving. Deuterium is the straight line to zero, and its behaviour is the reason a measured D/H is usable at all — every star destroys it, nothing makes it, so the observed value is a floor under the primordial one and the extrapolation has a direction. ³He does not have a direction. At g₃ = 1 it rises with processing, because the deuterium it inherits more than replaces what is burned; at g₃ = 0.25 it falls. The sign of the correction depends on a stellar-structure quantity that is not measured to better than a factor of two, and that is the whole of why no primordial ³He abundance is quoted anywhere. What is fixed is the sum. D + ³He falls monotonically at every survival fraction drawn, because the only thing a star can do to the pair is move deuterium into helium-3 and then destroy some of it. A quantity whose direction of change is known is a bound even when neither of its parts is a measurement.
Fig. 4 Abundances against the fraction of the gas that has never been inside a star, in the one-pass model. Deuterium is the straight line to zero. ³He rises with processing at g₃ = 1 and falls at g₃ = 0.25, which is the sign problem drawn rather than argued. What is fixed is the sum: D + ³He falls monotonically at every survival fraction, because the only thing a star can do to the pair is move deuterium into helium-3 and then destroy some of it. A quantity whose direction of change is known is a bound even when neither of its parts is a measurement.

Turning that into a number requires one inversion. If the observed pair is D_obs and ³He_obs, and a fraction g₃ of the ³He present survives, then the primordial deuterium satisfies D_p ≤ D_obs + ³He_obs/g₃ — the observed helium-3 could have been deuterium once, and the poorer the survival the more deuterium it could have been.

A bound on the baryon density from an abundance nobody can extrapolate. Primordial deuterium against the baryon density, with the upper bounds that the solar system's own deuterium and helium-3 place on it. The inequality is D_p ≤ D_obs + ³He_obs/g₃, and it holds for any star-formation history whatever: a deuteron entering a star becomes ³He, so the pair can only be moved from one member to the other and then destroyed, never increased. With pre-solar values of D/H = 2.0e-5 and ³He/H = 1.5e-5, the bounds are 3.50e-5 at g₃ = 1, 5.00e-5 at g₃ = 0.5, 8.00e-5 at g₃ = 0.25 — and because deuterium falls with density, each upper bound on the abundance is a lower bound on η: η₁₀ > 4.98, η₁₀ > 3.99, η₁₀ > 2.97. The weakest of them, at a survival fraction of 0.25, still excludes 52 per cent of the density range below the answer. That was the state of the measurement for most of the 1980s, and the shape of it is the thing worth carrying: an abundance too poorly understood to be extrapolated at all still constrained the quantity, because its direction of change under processing was known even though its magnitude was not. The microwave background's 6.13 sits above every bound drawn, which is not a coincidence and is not evidence — a bound that excluded the answer would have been an error, and a bound that admits it is only a bound.
Fig. 5 Primordial deuterium against the baryon density, with the upper bounds the solar system’s own deuterium and helium-3 place on it. With pre-solar D/H = 2.0 × 10⁻⁵ and ³He/H = 1.5 × 10⁻⁵ the bounds are 3.5, 5.0 and 8.0 × 10⁻⁵ at survival fractions of 1, 0.5 and 0.25 — and because deuterium falls with density, each upper bound on the abundance is a lower bound on η: 4.98, 3.99 and 2.97. The weakest of them still excludes half the density range below the answer. That was the state of this measurement for most of the 1980s.

The shape of that argument is the thing worth carrying out of this rung. A quantity too poorly understood to be extrapolated at all — a quantity with no primordial value, then or now — nonetheless constrained the baryon density, because the direction of its change under processing was known even though the magnitude was not. Direction is cheaper than magnitude and it is often enough.

It is worth being clear about how much work that bound was doing at the time. Through the 1980s the baryon density had no independent determination whatever: the acoustic peaks were two decades away, the deuterium measurements in quasar absorbers were a decade away, and the local deuterium abundance was known to be contaminated by processing in an amount nobody could estimate. What existed was this inequality and the helium mass fraction. The inequality said the universe contains at least a certain density of baryons; the dynamical mass of clusters said it contains several times more matter than that; and the gap between the two numbers is where the case for non-baryonic dark matter was first made quantitative. A bound derived from an abundance with no primordial value is one of the load-bearing arguments in twentieth-century cosmology, which is not the reputation helium-3 has.

The solar-system numbers behind it are worth a sentence, because they are the one place in this ladder where the sample is a rock rather than a spectrum. Pre-solar deuterium comes from the ³He excess in meteoritic gas and in the solar wind: the Sun burned all its deuterium to ³He in its first few million years, before it reached the main sequence, so the ³He in material that has not been through the solar interior is the sum of what the nebula had and what its deuterium became. That is the same inequality being used constructively rather than as a bound, and it is why the two numbers in the caption are quoted from the same measurement.

Why the slopes differ, and why the obvious reason is wrong

Deuterium’s predicted abundance falls as η1.6\eta^{-1.6} and helium-3’s as η0.6\eta^{-0.6}. The tempting explanation is a Coulomb barrier: ³He carries twice the charge, its destroyer has to tunnel further, so it is destroyed less completely and depends less steeply on the density. That explanation is checkable, and it is wrong.

Two destruction races with different Coulomb barriers. The destruction rate per nucleus divided by the expansion rate, for deuterium and for helium-3, at η₁₀ = 6.13. Deuterium is destroyed by a proton through D(p,γ)³He; helium-3 is destroyed by a deuteron through ³He(d,p)⁴He, taken at a deuterium abundance of 2.51e-5. The two reactions differ in the product of their nuclear charges — one against two — so the Gamow constants in their exponents are 3.72 and 7.14, and the second curve is visibly the steeper. What it is not is the slower. Below about 0.1 MeV the ³He rate is the larger of the two, because the nuclear factor in front of the Gamow exponential is seven orders of magnitude bigger for a strong-interaction channel than for a radiative capture, and that swamps the barrier. The crossings are 15.9 keV for deuterium and 14.4 keV for helium-3. The intuitive account of ³He's shallower dependence on the baryon density — a higher barrier means less destruction — is therefore the wrong way round, and the real reason is that ³He is not a pure residue at all: it is being manufactured out of deuterium for as long as any deuterium is left, so its abundance is a balance rather than a leftover, and a balance is much less sensitive to how long the process ran.
Fig. 6 The destruction rate per nucleus divided by the expansion rate, for deuterium via D(p,γ)³He and for helium-3 via ³He(d,p)⁴He. The two reactions differ in the product of their nuclear charges, one against two, so the Gamow constants are 3.72 and 7.14 and the helium-3 curve is visibly the steeper. What it is not is the slower: below about 0.1 MeV the ³He rate is the larger of the two, because the nuclear factor in front of the Gamow exponential is seven orders of magnitude bigger for a strong-interaction channel than for a radiative capture. Helium-3’s burning stops at 14.4 keV against deuterium’s 15.9 — later, not earlier.

So helium-3 is destroyed harder and for longer than deuterium is, and it survives in comparable quantity anyway. The reason is that it is not a residue. Deuterium is a leftover: what is measured is the fraction that escaped a process, and a leftover is exponential in how long the process ran, which is what makes it steep. Helium-3 is being manufactured out of deuterium throughout, so what is measured is closer to a balance between a source and a sink — and a balance is much less sensitive to the duration than a leftover is, because lengthening the process consumes more and makes more.

That distinction is the general lesson of this rung and it is worth stating separately from the astronomy. A quantity produced and destroyed by the same process is a poor probe of how long the process ran and a decent probe of the ratio of its rates; a quantity only destroyed is a sharp probe of the duration and says nothing about the ratio. Deuterium and helium-3 come out of the same reaction network and are informative about different things for exactly this reason.

The same division sorts a good deal of the rest of this collection. The neutron fraction at freeze-out is a leftover and measures a duration, which is why it counts particle species. The ionisation fraction in a stellar atmosphere is a balance and measures a ratio of rates, which is why it is a thermometer and not a clock. Anything that has reached a steady state has forgotten how long it took to get there, and anything still running down remembers nothing else.

How much density each abundance is worth. The logarithmic slope d ln A / d ln η of each predicted abundance, measured by central difference on the same curves the abundances are read off rather than taken from the exponents in the fitting formulae. The slope is the exchange rate between a measurement and an inference: an abundance known to one per cent fixes the baryon density to one per cent divided by the modulus of this number. At the microwave background's density the four are ⁴He 0.04, D −1.60, ³He −0.60 and ⁷Li 2.00. Helium sits almost exactly on zero across the whole range, which is why it is drawn as a horizontal line in every abundance figure and why it counts neutrino species instead. Deuterium's −1.6 is the one the whole method rests on, and it is a statement about the reaction network: deuterium is the fragile intermediate every other product has to pass through, so raising the density burns more of it away. The uncomfortable line on the plot is lithium's, at 2.0: it is the steepest of the four, so ⁷Li would be the best baryometer in the set if its measured abundance agreed with its predicted one, and it is out by a factor of three.
Fig. 7 The logarithmic slope of each predicted abundance across a wide density range. Helium-3’s −0.60 sits between helium’s flatness and deuterium’s steepness, and the ordering is the ordering of how completely each species is a leftover. Read as a measurement, a slope of −0.6 means an abundance known to one per cent buys a density known to 1.7 per cent — usable in principle, and unusable in practice for the reason the rest of this essay is about: the abundance is not known to one per cent and cannot be extrapolated to the value the slope refers to.

What the picture cannot show

The one-pass model behind three of these figures is a caricature, and its limits should be stated rather than left for a reader to discover. It processes gas once, with a single survival fraction, at a single moment; a real galaxy processes some gas many times and some not at all, with a survival fraction that depends on the mass of the star doing the processing and therefore on the initial mass function and on the epoch. The sign-change value of 0.282 is exact within the model and approximate outside it.

What the model does get right is the topology, and that is what the argument uses. Deuterium’s response is negative for every parameter choice; helium’s is positive for every one; helium-3’s changes sign inside the range that stellar models allow. No refinement of the model moves a sign change out of a range it sits in the middle of, and refining it further would produce a more accurate crossing point rather than a reason to stop worrying about the crossing.

There is one thing the figures cannot address at all. Everything here treats the Galaxy’s ³He as a chemical-evolution problem, and the comparison is between a model of the Galaxy and a radio line. If the radio measurements are systematically low — if the ionisation corrections for ³He⁺ in H II regions are wrong in a common direction — then the flat, low distribution is an artefact and the whole discussion changes. The measurements are few, they are difficult, and there is no independent route to the same number. A subject in which one hard measurement carries the entire empirical weight is a subject with a single point of failure, and this one has been in that position since the 1970s.

The gradient figure also hides a choice that a reader should be able to see. The gas fraction it runs on is a straight line from 0.04 to 0.50 across the disc, which is a plausible shape and not a measurement. Real determinations of the gas fraction come from the atomic and molecular surveys and disagree with one another about the inner few kiloparsecs by more than the whole range drawn, largely because the molecular gas there is inferred from carbon monoxide through a conversion factor that itself depends on metallicity. If the inner disc has processed less of its gas than the figure assumes, the predicted gradients flatten and the observations stop constraining the survival fraction even in principle. The figure’s negative conclusion — that the gradient does not settle the sign — survives that, because it survives making the models more similar to each other, but the size of the effect drawn should be read as illustrative.

Four abundances, one free parameter. The abundances big-bang nucleosynthesis predicts, against the one number it is free to choose: η₁₀, the ratio of baryons to photons in units of 10⁻¹⁰. Four curves spanning nine decades, from a helium mass fraction of about a quarter down to a lithium abundance of one atom in ten billion, and they are not four independent predictions — they all come out of the same reaction network run at the same density. The horizontal bands are what is measured in the sky, each at its published one sigma. The measurement that matters is deuterium, because its curve is the steep one: inverting the drawn curve at D/H = 2.527e-5 gives η₁₀ = 6.11, and the ends of the observed interval give 6.06 to 6.15. The vertical band is what the microwave background gives, 6.13 ± 0.04, from the height of the second acoustic peak relative to the first. Those two agree to 0.4 per cent, and they have nothing whatever in common: one is a nuclear-reaction network run in the first three minutes and read off a quasar absorption line, the other is a fluid oscillation at four hundred thousand years read off a sky map. Lithium is the exception and it is not a small one — the network predicts 4.70e-10 at the microwave background's density and the halo stars show 1.60e-10, a factor of 2.9 too much, which is unresolved.
Fig. 8 The four abundances over a wider range of density than the earlier rungs drew, which puts the two helium isotopes on the same picture at the same scale. ⁴He is the flat line near a quarter and ³He the gently falling one three decades below it; the mass difference between them is one neutron and the abundance difference is four orders of magnitude, because ⁴He is where the network dumps everything it can and ³He is what was in transit when the network stopped. Nothing in the drawing distinguishes a species that is a bound from a species that is a measurement, which is the point of the rung.

What is worth measuring next, and it is not helium-3

The natural instinct on reading all of the above is that the ³He observations should be improved. They should, and it would not help with the question this rung is about.

An abundance measured perfectly still has to be corrected by a factor whose sign is unknown, so its primordial value stays a range that spans the prediction and says nothing. What would help is a measurement of the survival fraction — the astrophysical quantity, not the cosmological one. Two things could deliver it. Helium-3 in a planetary nebula whose central star’s initial mass is independently known would measure the yield of one star rather than an average over a population, and the initial mass is knowable from cluster membership. And asteroseismology of red giants is now sensitive to the internal rotation and to the composition gradients that drive thermohaline circulation, which is the mechanism itself rather than its consequence.

Both of those are stellar-physics measurements, and that is the point of the rung rather than an aside. The cosmology of helium-3 is finished; what remains is a question about what happens inside a one-solar-mass star between the main sequence and the white dwarf it becomes, and until that is answered the abundance is a bound rather than a number.

Where this ladder goes next

Three rungs of this anchor have now taken the four abundances one at a time and asked what each is a measurement of. Deuterium measures the density, helium counts relativistic species, lithium disagrees with everything, and helium-3 supplies a one-sided bound and no value. Every one of those readings assumed the universe was the same everywhere at one second.

The next rung drops that assumption. If the baryons were unevenly distributed when the network fired — as a first-order quark–hadron transition would have left them — then each region ran its own nucleosynthesis at its own density, and what is observed is a volume average. The proposal existed for a decade as the one way to make ordinary matter account for all the matter dynamics demanded, and the reason it fails is a theorem about convex functions rather than a detail of any calculation.

Beyond that: the neutron lifetime, whose two laboratory measurements disagree by ten seconds and whose disagreement propagates into every number on this ladder; and the constraint the same machinery places on a light sterile neutrino, which is the particle-physics reading of the helium band.

About the same objects

Not linked from either essay — found by the objects both name.

The objects this essay names

Each one links to every other essay that touches it.

AstrationBaryon densityBaryon-to-photon ratioBig bang nucleosynthesisChemical evolutionConvective envelopeDeuterium abundanceGamow peakH II regionHyperfine transitionInitial mass functionPrimordial abundance