A particle count taken from a dwarf galaxy
Assumes Nucleosynthesis, Expansion and Microwave background.
The first rung of this anchor ran the whole network against its single adjustable number and let four abundances land where they fell. Deuterium did the work there: its curve is the steep one, so inverting it at the measured abundance pins the baryon density, and the pinning agrees with a sky map made four hundred thousand years later. Helium was in that picture as the flattest of the four lines, and a flat line is not a baryometer.
It is something else. The helium mass fraction barely responds to the baryon density because it is barely a nuclear result at all — it is a count of neutrons taken at one moment, and the moment is set by a race that has no baryons in it. The losing side of that race is the weak interaction; the winning side is the expansion; and the expansion rate depends on how many kinds of relativistic particle were present, whether or not any of them ever interacted with anything the calculation knows about.
That figure is the argument, and everything below is an account of why the curve in it is where it is, followed by an account of the two things it rests on that are not measurements of the sky at all.
Helium is twice a neutron fraction
The statement that does the work is almost embarrassingly simple. Once deuterium survives, the chain that follows is fast and it is one-way: deuterium to tritium and helium-3, and those to ⁴He, which has the largest binding energy per nucleon of anything reachable before the mass-5 and mass-8 gaps stop the chain. Nothing sends a neutron back out. So essentially every neutron present when the chain fires ends up inside a helium nucleus, paired with a proton, and
where is helium’s share of the mass and is the neutron fraction at that instant. The factor of two is the two nucleons a neutron drags in with it. Predicting the primordial helium abundance is therefore not a problem in nuclear chemistry; it is a problem of knowing the neutron fraction at one moment, and the entire reaction network enters only through when that moment is.
The equilibrium ratio is the Boltzmann factor for a mass difference of 1.29333 MeV, which is where the whole asymmetry comes from: neutrons are heavier than protons, so at any temperature there are fewer of them, and the shortfall deepens as the temperature falls. At 10 MeV the difference is negligible and the ratio is close to one. By 1 MeV it is roughly a third.
The race the ratio loses
What stops the ratio following its equilibrium curve to zero is an ordinary competition of rates, and it is one-sided in the strongest possible way.
The interactions that convert a neutron into a proton — capture of a positron, capture of an electron neutrino, and free decay — all have cross sections that go as the square of the Fermi constant, and their thermally averaged rate goes as . The expansion rate in a radiation-dominated universe goes as . Five against two means that once the rate falls behind it can never catch up: the race is lost exactly once, and the losing is what the word freeze-out names.
The rate written into the figure above is the standard approximation with the electron mass neglected,
and the thing worth noticing about it is its normalisation. It carries no coupling constant. It carries , the free-neutron lifetime, because the same matrix element that governs the decay governs every one of the conversions, and the decay is the one channel a laboratory can measure directly. The reverse rate is fixed by detailed balance at times the forward one. So the figure’s conversion rates come from a bottle of ultracold neutrons in Los Alamos, and nothing about them is fitted to the sky. That is a point worth holding on to, because a laboratory disagreement about that number turns up again below.
The fifth power is worth a sentence of its own, since it is doing more work than the ratio of rates suggests. Four of those powers are phase space — the available energy for the outgoing particles scales as the temperature, and a weak process integrates over three momenta and a delta function — and the fifth is the density of the incoming neutrinos and positrons that the neutron has to meet. At 1 MeV the conversion rate is about three times the expansion rate and the ratio is still tracking equilibrium closely; at 0.5 MeV it is half, and the tracking has stopped. The whole of the transition occupies less than a factor of three in temperature, which is why a picture of it looks like a curve leaving a line rather than a curve slowly diverging from one. It is also why treating freeze-out as an instant, and the ratio as one sixth thereafter, gets the answer to a few per cent — an approximation this collection’s rung on the expansion itself would not tolerate but which is honest here, and which the integration above is drawn precisely to avoid needing.
Where the species get in
Now the part that makes an abundance into a particle count. The expansion rate during the radiation era depends on the energy density and on nothing else:
The two is the photon’s polarisations; the four is the electron and positron with their spins; the is the neutrinos and antineutrinos; the seven-eighths is the difference between Fermi and Bose statistics at the same temperature. Every relativistic species in the universe at that epoch is in , and enters under a square root.
A species that has never been detected still contributes, provided only that it was relativistic and in thermal contact early enough. It does not have to interact with anything now. It does not have to interact with baryons at all. It merely has to have been there, carrying energy density, making the clock run faster.
The chain has four links and each one is a sign rather than a coefficient: more species, faster clock, earlier loss, more helium. A hidden particle species does not leave a fingerprint anywhere in that argument. It leaves a number, and the number is about half a per cent of the helium mass fraction per species — small, but not small compared with what a good spectrum of an H II region can do.
What has actually been looked for with this lever is worth naming, because the abstraction hides how specific the searches are. A fourth, sterile neutrino that mixed enough to be brought into equilibrium before freeze-out would add exactly one to and raise the predicted helium by 0.013 — sitting right at the edge of what the measurement excludes. A relativistic particle decoupling earlier than the neutrinos contributes less than one, because the entropy released by every annihilation between its decoupling and freeze-out dilutes it; the same arithmetic that makes the neutrinos colder than the photons after the pairs go makes an earlier species colder still. And a scalar field carrying energy density contributes a fraction of a species with no particle interpretation at all. The measurement does not distinguish between these. It measures energy density in relativistic form at one second, and reports it in units of a neutrino.
There is one refinement in the constant. The standard model has three neutrino families, and is 3.046 rather than 3 because the neutrinos have not quite finished decoupling when the electron–positron pairs annihilate, so they catch a sliver of the heat released and end up marginally hotter than a clean decoupling would leave them. The excess is a calculational detail with no free parameter in it, and it is the size of the effect being hunted, which is a good way to appreciate how demanding the measurement is.
The curve bends, and the bend is a prediction
Freeze-out happens where a rate crosses a one, so the freeze-out temperature scales as — a sixth root, which is about as weak a dependence as a physical quantity can have and still be a dependence. The consequence is that each additional species buys less helium than the one before it.
The agreement between the drawn curve’s shape and is worth more than it looks. The integration knows nothing about that scaling — it steps a differential equation through a rate and an expansion law — and the scaling is an asymptotic argument about where two power laws cross. Two independent routes to the same shape is the ordinary way this collection checks that a picture is of the thing it claims, and here the routes agree to about five per cent — the residue being the neutron decay between freeze-out and firing, which the asymptotic argument leaves out and the integration does not.
Why this is not the deuterium measurement
The first rung’s inference and this one both come out of one reaction network, and they are nonetheless separate measurements of separate things. The clearest way to see it is to look at what each abundance does across the interval the baryon density is actually known to.
That flatness is the point. Helium’s insensitivity to the baryon density is what disqualifies it as a baryometer and what qualifies it as a species counter, because it means the answer read off the helium curve is not contaminated by whatever uncertainty the baryon density still carries. The two readings share a network and share almost no information, which is the property that makes the concordance in the first rung a test rather than a consistency check. The baryon budget can move by ten per cent without moving this essay’s answer by a tenth of a species.
The same independence runs the other way against the microwave background. The acoustic peaks constrain too, and rather better — the extra radiation shifts the epoch of matter–radiation equality and changes the damping tail — but they do so at four hundred thousand years, through the propagation of sound in a photon–baryon fluid whose photon number comes from the best blackbody ever measured. The helium reading is taken at one second. Two constraints on one quantity, five orders of magnitude apart in time, is the shape of evidence this subject rarely gets.
The one number the integration cannot supply
Every figure above carries a temperature that has not been justified: 0.0855 MeV, the point at which the network fires. It deserves the scepticism, because it is the weakest thing in the calculation.
Deuterium is bound by only 2.2246 MeV, and it sits in a bath containing about a billion photons for every baryon, so the tail of the photon distribution keeps photodissociating it long after the mean photon energy has fallen below the binding energy. The bottleneck breaks when the deuterium abundance becomes large enough for the burning reactions to outrun the destruction, and that is a threshold on a smoothly rising quantity, not an event. Different reasonable criteria put it anywhere between about 0.06 and 0.10 MeV. This matters because the interval between freeze-out and the firing is spent decaying: every extra second is neutrons lost.
The two panels are the same numbers arranged twice, and the difference between them is the whole reason the reading survives. The absolute abundance is at the mercy of the bottleneck; the derivative is not, because it is a difference between two runs that share the delay, so most of the delay cancels out of it. A quantity that is badly determined and a quantity derived from it that is well determined is not a paradox — it is the ordinary behaviour of a difference, and it is why the species count is read off the slope of the curve rather than off its height.
Narrowing to the range a modern network actually spans does not change the conclusion, only the numbers.
A laboratory disagreement with a cosmological consequence
The conversion rate is normalised on the neutron lifetime, and the neutron lifetime is measured two ways that do not agree. A bottle experiment stores ultracold neutrons and counts the survivors: 877.75 ± 0.28 s. A beam experiment passes a cold neutron beam through a trap and counts the protons produced: 888.0 ± 2.0 s. The difference is about ten seconds and something over four standard deviations, and it has stood for two decades while both techniques have improved.
That is a modest number and an instructive one. The cosmological inference is not ruined by the laboratory disagreement, but it is displaced by an amount comparable to the effects it is being used to look for, so a paper quoting from helium has to say which lifetime it used. The parallel elsewhere in this collection is exact in structure if not in scale: the same expansion constant measured twice, five sigma apart, where two methods each internally consistent disagree and the disagreement is itself the result. Here the disagreeing measurements are both terrestrial and the consequence is astronomical, which is the less usual direction.
What is actually measured
The band in the first figure is not helium. It is a ratio of emission-line strengths, and the distance from one to the other is worth stating, because this collection’s standing obligation is to say what an instrument recorded.
An extragalactic H II region — an ionised cloud around young stars in a small, gas-rich, chemically unevolved galaxy — emits recombination lines of hydrogen and of helium. The ratio of a helium line to a hydrogen line gives the ratio of the two ion abundances, once the emissivities are known, and the emissivities depend on the electron temperature and density, which have to be got from other line ratios in the same spectrum. Then the neutral helium that the ionising spectrum failed to reach has to be added back, and the helium locked in doubly ionised form subtracted, and the underlying stellar absorption at the same wavelengths corrected for, and the whole thing done for several dozen galaxies.
None of those objects is primordial. Every one has made some helium in stars, so the measured abundance is extrapolated to zero metallicity along the correlation between helium and oxygen, and the intercept is the number quoted. The quoted uncertainty of 0.0040 is dominated not by photon statistics but by that modelling chain — by collisional excitation of the helium lines, by the temperature adopted, and by the choice of which galaxies are clean enough to include. Different groups working from overlapping data have published intercepts from 0.2419 to 0.2551, and the spread between them exceeds any one of their error bars.
It is worth setting the result beside the one laboratory measurement of the same quantity. The width of the Z boson at LEP depends on how many neutrino species it can decay into invisibly, and that experiment gives 2.9840 ± 0.0082 — three species, to a third of a per cent, from a collider. The two numbers are not measuring quite the same thing: LEP counts neutrinos light enough and coupled strongly enough to be produced in a Z decay, and helium counts everything relativistic and thermalised at one second, coupled or not. A discrepancy between them would therefore have been a discovery rather than an error, which is the reason for measuring a known quantity badly by a second method. The error bar that comes from counting is not what limits either of them.
So the honest summary of this rung is that the physics is clean and the measurement is not. The reading is limited by an atomic-physics-and-extrapolation problem in a handful of nearby dwarf galaxies, and any improvement in it will come from spectroscopy rather than from the early universe.
The generalisation
The structure worth extracting is that a quantity can be a good probe of something it barely depends on, provided the dependence it does have is on nothing else.
Helium’s response to the number of relativistic species is weak — half a per cent per species, through a square root and a sixth root. What makes it usable is that almost nothing else moves it: not the baryon density, which is what deuterium is for; not the details of the nuclear network, which only set when the counting stops; not the abundance of anything heavier. The signal is small and it is nearly alone, and being nearly alone is worth more than being large.
The same shape appears wherever this collection finds a measurement of something invisible. The solar neutrino flux is a thermometer good to a tenth of a per cent because the boron-8 rate depends on the central temperature to the twenty-fifth power and on very little else. Nothing in the sky is weighed in kilograms because every astronomical mass is a product , and the poorly known factor is the terrestrial one — the mirror image of this essay, where the poorly known factor is again terrestrial and again a laboratory constant.
The corollary is the warning. A quantity that responds weakly to the thing being measured responds weakly to its systematics too, which is why the helium result is quoted at a third of a species while the microwave background reaches 0.17 — and why the two are worth having together rather than in place of one another.
Where the ladder goes next
Two thirds of the neutrons that existed at freeze-out survive to be counted, and the missing third decayed. The next rung takes the same integration and asks what the surviving deuterium is: not the trace that seeds the chain, but the small residue that fails to burn, whose abundance is the steep function the first rung inverted. That residue is set by a competition between burning and expansion in exactly the same style as this one, and it is what makes deuterium a baryometer rather than a species counter.
Further rungs on this anchor: the lithium problem’s proposed resolutions, and why stellar depletion is the least unattractive of them; helium-3, and why an abundance that is both produced and destroyed in stars cannot be extrapolated backwards at all; inhomogeneous nucleosynthesis, pursued seriously in the 1980s to make the baryon density equal the matter density, and the reason it does not work; and the constraint this same figure places on a light sterile neutrino, which is the particle-physics reading of the same band.
What links here
The 8 of 9 essays linking to this one that name the most of the same objects.
- The residue that failed to burn cosmology
- A factor of three, and the flatness that prices every cure cosmology
- An abundance with no direction to correct in cosmology
- The universe that was lumpy at one second cosmology
- The epoch nobody saw moves the tilt cosmology
- A mass measured by what it stopped from forming cosmology
- Nine dates for every surface in the solar system orbits
- The metals a galaxy keeps measure what it threw away galaxies
The objects this essay names
Each one links to every other essay that touches it.
Baryon-to-photon ratioBig bang nucleosynthesisDetailed balanceDeuterium bottleneckEffective number of neutrino speciesFreeze outNeutron lifetimeNeutron proton ratioPrimordial heliumRelativistic degrees of freedomThermal equilibriumWeak interaction