Astronomy & Celestial Mechanics
the sky, computed
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Series — page 5

A field says what an essay is about. A series follows one idea essay by essay — from the question that introduces it to the one that assumes all the others.
Every model curve has slope −1, and four measurements agree on κ to 1.5×. Semi-major-axis drift against body diameter, for a thermal recoil in which a fraction κ = 0.085 of the absorbed sunlight comes back out along-track. The three curves are the same expression at 1, 1.6, 2.5 astronomical units, and each has a slope of exactly −1: the acceleration is the absorbed power divided by the mass, which is a cross-section over a volume, so it falls as one over the size and nothing else on this axis changes it. A kilometre-wide body drifts a few metres a year; a ten-metre one drifts hundreds. The four filled marks are the bodies whose drift has actually been measured as a fitted parameter in an orbit solution, and they do not lie on any single curve because each carries its own density, distance and obliquity. What they agree about is the number beside each: solve every measured drift for the efficiency that would produce it and the four answers are 0.084, 0.085, 0.089, 0.129 — a factor of 1.5 apart, for a quantity that could in principle have been anything from zero to a fifth. That agreement is the evidence that the mechanism is understood, and it is the only evidence there is, because the thermal conductivity that sets κ has never been measured for any of them.

Non gravitational forces

  1. 1 An orbit moved by heat
  2. 2 A comet that arrives a day early
  3. 3 A drift rate that says what the surface is made of
  4. 4 An acceleration that was the spacecraft's own heat
  5. 5 The jet that pushes a comet also turns it
5 essays · orbits Energy error over 240 revolutions, at one step size. The relative error in total energy against revolution number, for three integrators run on the same Kepler orbit at e = 0.5 with the same step of 200 per revolution. The exact energy is a constant, so every curve here is the method rather than the problem. Euler climbs steadily: its energy at the end is 106.5% wrong, and the orbit it draws has spiralled outwards. Runge–Kutta 4 begins 4.7e+2 times more accurate than leapfrog and ends at 2.22e-4, having grown by a factor of 10 across the run: the error is SECULAR. Leapfrog oscillates inside a band and stays there — worst error 2.62e-3, and the second half of the run is no worse than the first, which is measured here rather than claimed. That is the property that decides whether a five-billion-year integration means anything, and it is not accuracy: a symplectic method is the exact solution of a Hamiltonian a step-size away from the intended one, so its energy cannot wander, while a more accurate non-symplectic method has no such constraint and eventually wanders further.

Numerical integration

  1. 1 Wrong about where, and right about how much
  2. 2 A step that must not be adapted
  3. 3 An error that grows like a random walk
  4. 4 A probability for a system with one future
  5. 5 A rare event reached by cloning the near misses
5 essays · gravitation Opacity against temperature, and the three things that supply it. The Rosseland mean opacity of a gas of composition X = 0.7, Y = 0.28, Z = 0.02, on logarithmic axes, at 10⁻⁷ g/cm³ and 10⁻⁶ g/cm³. The three faint curves are the separate processes at the first density — electron scattering, the Kramers bound-free and free-free term, and the negative hydrogen ion — and the solid curve is their sum. Every one of them is multiplied by the fraction of hydrogen the Saha equation says is ionised at that temperature and density, or by one minus it for H⁻, which is the only reason the low-temperature end is a picture of a star rather than of a formula outside its range: ungated, Kramers alone gives 10,343 cm²/g at 5,800 K, against the 0.40 drawn here. The peak sits at 15,400 K, where hydrogen is 78% ionised — that bump is not a detail, it is the engine of a Cepheid — and the flat floor at high temperature is electron scattering, which is the one term with no temperature in it at all.

Opacity

  1. 1 The surface that is a depth
  2. 2 A mean dominated by the gaps
  3. 3 A better measurement that made the model worse
  4. 4 A wall built by a steep opacity
  5. 5 Where a shrinking star stops boiling at its centre
5 essays · starlight A quadratic and a linear, crossing at 149 objects. The two rates that decide whether a shell at 900 km is stable, against how many objects are in it. Production goes as N² — every collision needs two objects, so the number of collisions is proportional to the square of the population, and each one is taken here to make 1600 trackable fragments. Removal goes as N, because drag acts on each object independently and takes 1,195 years to do it at this altitude. A quadratic and a linear cross exactly once, at 149 objects in this shell, and above that crossing the population grows with nothing launched. The shell presently holds about 2,280, which is 15 times the crossing. Every number on the production side is uncertain by a factor of a few — the fragment yield most of all, and the cross-section is calibrated against an observed collision rate rather than measured — so the position of the crossing carries that uncertainty with it. The shape does not, and the shape is the argument: a quadratic overtakes a linear once and never comes back, the crossing falls as the altitude rises because the lifetime is in the denominator, and what results is a threshold rather than a trend.

Orbital debris

  1. 1 A collision rate that needs no collision
  2. 2 The fragments nobody can see and cannot shield against
  3. 3 Fifty objects that hold most of the future
  4. 4 A removal rate set by one percentage
  5. 5 A ring where nothing leaves and little shatters
5 essays · spaceflight Parallax for a star at 1.3 parsecs. The same star observed from two ends of a baseline. The two sight lines are 1.54″ apart, so the parallax — half of that, the shift seen from a one-astronomical-unit baseline — is 0.769″ for a star 1.3 parsecs away. The definition of the parsec is the distance at which it would be exactly one.

Parallax

  1. 1 The triangle that reaches the stars, and stops
  2. 2 Five numbers from one wiggle
  3. 3 The distance is not one over the parallax
  4. 4 A baseline that grows four astronomical units a year
  5. 5 A calibration chosen by the measurement it calibrates
5 essays · starlight How small a sphere of influence is. Each planet's sphere of influence as a fraction of its own orbital radius, against that radius, both logarithmic. The largest belongs to Jupiter at 6.19% and the smallest to Mercury at 0.194%. The patched-conic method treats a trajectory as heliocentric everywhere outside these, and the figure is the argument for why that costs so little: they are thousandths of the journey.

Patched conics

  1. 1 One trajectory, stitched from three two-body problems
  2. 2 The discontinuity a patched conic hides
  3. 3 A millimetre a second at launch, seventy-six kilometres at Mars
  4. 4 A trajectory with no good first guess
  5. 5 A way home that needs no engine
5 essays · spaceflight A true peak at 0.3103 and a false one at 0.6897, from the same data. The Lomb–Scargle periodogram of 162 simulated observations taken over 419 nights from one site, of a star carrying a 4.2-unit sinusoid at 0.3103 cycles per day under 3 units of Gaussian noise per point. The injected signal is recovered at 0.3103 cycles per day, within the 0.0024 resolution element the baseline allows. The second peak, at 0.6899, is 87 per cent as tall and corresponds to nothing: it is 1 − f, the signal reflected in the one-cycle-per-day spike of the sampling. Neither peak is more real than the other in this picture — deciding between them needs a second site at a different longitude, or a run long enough for the seasonal window to separate them. The dashed line is the power a pure-noise series would exceed once in 1000 trials, computed from 586 independent frequencies rather than from the 4691 grid points searched; using the grid count instead would put the line 2.08 higher and reject a real detection.

Periodograms

  1. 1 A period found in the gaps
  2. 2 The tallest peak in nothing at all
  3. 3 Odds for a planet that depend on a guess about its size
  4. 4 A prior the survey measures through its own noise
  5. 5 A periodogram shaped like a shadow
5 essays · starlight The osculating semi-major axis of a perturbed orbit. The semi-major axis a test particle would have if the perturber vanished, computed from its position and velocity at every step of an integration over 26 orbits of the perturber. It is not constant: a short-period ripple rides on a slow trend, and only the trend accumulates.

Perturbations

  1. 1 Elements that do not stay constant
  2. 2 Which direction moves which element
  3. 3 The series that is subtracted
  4. 4 A term too small to keep that a denominator kept
  5. 5 A perigee that moved twice as fast as Newton
5 essays · orbits B − V against temperature, computed and measured. B − V against effective temperature. The curve is the colour index of a blackbody, obtained by integrating Planck's law against B and V response functions and subtracting a constant so that the index is exactly zero at 9600 K — the convention that an A0V star has every colour index zero, which is a choice and not a measurement. The 15 points are the main sequence as it is actually measured, and they do not lie on the curve: at the Sun's temperature the blackbody gives 0.446 where the sky gives 0.653, and at M0V 0.995 against 1.40. The model is too blue almost everywhere, and least wrong near 9600 K — which is why the zero point is put where it is. A colour index is a difference of two magnitudes, so it is a difference of two integrals, and changing either filter changes the number.

Photometric systems

  1. 1 A magnitude has to say which light
  2. 2 The same star through two telescopes
  3. 3 A response measured pixel by pixel
  4. 4 Light that adds, corrected as if it multiplied
  5. 5 A halo the telescope paints on every galaxy
5 essays · starlight What the error bar is made of, on a 1 m in 60 s. The four contributions to a photometric error, against the brightness of the star, for a 1-metre aperture, a 60-second exposure and a sky of 21 magnitudes per square arcsecond. The star's own photons give a line of slope exactly 0.2 — σ ∝ N^−1/2 and N ∝ 10^−0.4m, so a magnitude of extra faintness costs a fifth of a magnitude of precision, and no instrument changes that. The sky and the read noise are fixed counts, so their lines have slope 0.4, twice as steep, and they overtake the star at V = 18.25 — that crossing is the faint limit of the night, and it moves when the Moon rises rather than when the telescope changes. Scintillation is flat, because the atmosphere modulates a bright star and a faint one by the same fraction: at 4.09e-4 relative it is 0.44 millimagnitudes here and it is what caps the bright end, up to about V = 10.8. Below all of them is the systematic floor at 0.3 millimagnitudes, which is flat-fielding and colour terms and does not integrate down at all.

Photon noise

  1. 1 The error bar that comes from counting
  2. 2 The faint star is measured against a brighter sky
  3. 3 The best aperture throws away a tenth
  4. 4 The comparison stars are part of the measurement
  5. 5 A floor the star sets for itself
5 essays · starlight Two measured numbers, and everything else on the page derived from them. 25 pulsars in the plane of period against period derivative, at their catalogued values. Only the two axes are measurements; the three families of contour are models. Constant surface field runs at slope −1 because B ∝ √(PṖ), constant characteristic age at slope +1 because τ = P/2Ṗ, and the two families cross the population at right angles — which is why a single dot fixes both. The Crab sits at 3.8·10¹² G and 1257 years, and its true age is 972; the millisecond pulsars at the lower left have fields ten thousand times weaker and characteristic ages of billions of years, because they were spun back up by a companion long after they died. The line at the lower right is the death line, B/P² below which the model says no pair production and therefore no radio emission — and J2144−3933 is drawn below it, an 8.5-second pulsar that is radiating anyway.

Pulsars

  1. 1 A clock that runs down and says what it is
  2. 2 A clock read against a model of everything in between
  3. 3 A corner of the diagram that has to be earned
  4. 4 The part of a star that never slowed down
  5. 5 The exponent no pulsar has
5 essays · stars An eight-hour pass, and a 351 m s⁻¹ sinusoid that is the whole of the angle. Above: the range rate a two-way Doppler measurement returns over one pass from Goldstone, for a spacecraft receding at 14.6 km s⁻¹. Nothing here is an angle. The measurement is the fractional shift of a carrier the spacecraft coherently turned around and sent back, and its interpretation is that the distance is changing at some rate. Below: the same data with the spacecraft's own smooth signature removed. What is left is a sinusoid of exactly one cycle per day — the station's own motion, carried east at 379 metres a second by the rotation of the Earth, projected onto the line of sight. Its amplitude is that speed times cos δ and returns a declination of 22.0°; its zero crossing is the moment the spacecraft passed the meridian and returns the right ascension. The Earth's rotation is the interferometer. With Doppler good to 0.05 mm s⁻¹ at a 60-second cadence, 480 samples fit that amplitude to 0.003 mm s⁻¹ and the declination to 23 nanoradians — which is 4.7 milliarcseconds, from an instrument with no image plane and no angular resolution of any kind. What the picture cannot show is the part that makes this hard in practice: the spacecraft's own signature is not a straight line but a trajectory with unmodelled accelerations in it, and separating a slow non-gravitational force from a slow drift in the angles is the whole art of the fit.

Radiometric navigation

  1. 1 A position measured from a frequency
  2. 2 An angle measured against a quasar
  3. 3 An ocean found in a Doppler residual
  4. 4 Four media between the antenna and the spacecraft
  5. 5 Two metres overhead and thirty at the horizon
5 essays · spaceflight Refraction against apparent altitude. How far the air lifts an object, in arcminutes, against where the object appears to be. The lift is 34.5′ at the horizon — larger than the Sun's own diameter — and falls below one arcminute above 45°. At the horizon it is also the least reliable number in positional astronomy, because it depends on the temperature profile of the air the sight line crosses.

Refraction

  1. 1 The Sun sets before it sets
  2. 2 The atmosphere is a prism as well as a lens
  3. 3 A square field imaged as a squashed one
  4. 4 An atmosphere that bends light round the Earth
  5. 5 A sunset's shape is a sounding of the air
5 essays · sky The Sun's altitude through the day at latitude 52°. Solar altitude against the hour of the day, at one latitude, for the solstices and the equinox. Where a curve crosses zero is sunrise or sunset, and the width between the crossings is the length of the day.

Seasons

  1. 1 The Sun's path, and the tilt that makes the seasons
  2. 2 Five zones, and one angle
  3. 3 The sunniest place is the summer pole
  4. 4 The hottest month is not the sunniest
  5. 5 A full Moon that stops rising later
5 essays · sky Why a shell pulls a point inside it not at all. A double cone from a point inside a uniform shell. In the narrow-cone limit the far patch is 2.80 times further away and 2.80 times wider — the same number, checked to a part in a thousand before this figure is drawn. Its mass is greater by the square of that ratio and its pull weaker by the same square, so the two cancel in every direction.

Shell theorem

  1. 1 A sphere pulls exactly like a point, and the proof is a pair of cones
  2. 2 The tunnel that takes the same time from anywhere
  3. 3 Inside a ring the pull points outward
  4. 4 The shell can be flattened if it thins at the poles
  5. 5 A shell outside the stream turns nothing
5 essays · gravitation Why the solar day is 3m 55.91s longer than the sidereal one. Two positions of the Earth one day apart, with the direction of a fixed star and the direction of the Sun marked at each. After one sidereal day — 23h 56m 4.0905s — the Earth has turned through exactly 360° and the star is back on the meridian; the Sun is not, because the Earth has moved 0.9856° along its orbit, and the further 0.9856° of turning takes 3m 55.91s. That is the whole of the difference: 366.2422 turns against the stars in the 365.2422 solar days of a year, one more turn than the 365.2422 against the Sun. Nothing here is to scale. The orbital arc is drawn at 40°, which exaggerates the real 0.9856° by 41 times, and the Earth's disc is about 4073 times too large for its orbit. The two star sight lines are drawn parallel because they are: a star's distance cannot be put on the same page as an orbit.

Sidereal time

  1. 1 The day that is four minutes short
  2. 2 A clock whose zero is moving
  3. 3 A right ascension is a date
  4. 4 A season without a night
  5. 5 A schedule written by where the Sun is
5 essays · sky Where the fuel goes, and it is not where a satellite points. Left, the orbit pole of a geostationary satellite, in degrees from the Earth's. The Sun and the Moon between them carry it round a circle of radius 7.4° in 53 years, and a satellite launched into the equatorial plane starts on the rim of that circle rather than at its centre — so its inclination climbs from zero at 0.88° a year, reaches 14.8° after 27 years, and comes back. Right, what holding it costs. A plane change of 0.88° at 3.07 km/s is 47.1 m/s a year; holding the longitude against the equatorial bulge, computed from the same resonant term that makes the longitude a pendulum, is 1.8 m/s a year. North–south is 96% of the budget, and a satellite that gives up on it does not fail — it starts tracing a figure of eight on the sky 1.8° tall in the first year, which a fixed dish cannot follow and a steerable one can. Retiring at the end of the propellant is therefore a choice about which service ends first.

Station-keeping

  1. 1 The orbit that has to be paid for every year
  2. 2 A satellite that drifts to one of two longitudes
  3. 3 An unstable point that costs less to hold than a stable orbit
  4. 4 A fuel gauge that is worst when it is needed
  5. 5 A graveyard height with a term for sunlight
5 essays · spaceflight The mirror: an envelope 62 times larger around a core 1.48 times smaller. Envelope radius and core radius against helium-core mass for a 1 solar-mass star, both in solar radii on one logarithmic axis. Two curves with opposite slopes at every point: the envelope grows from 2.0 to 122 solar radii — 0.57 astronomical units — while the degenerate core contracts from 13,848 to 9,368 kilometres, and the two are separated by a factor of 364 in the middle of the range. The figure is drawn from two stated relations rather than from a stellar model: a core-mass–luminosity law of the sixth power, calibrated to 2,500 solar luminosities at 0.48 solar masses of core, and a Hayashi temperature falling from 5000 to 3700 kelvin across the range. Everything else follows exactly — the radius by the Stefan–Boltzmann law, the core radius by the cold degenerate relation R ∝ M⁻¹ᐟ³. Note what the tip radius is and is not: it is the red-giant branch, and the later asymptotic-giant tip is a different and larger number.

Stellar evolution

  1. 1 The star that swells because its centre shrank
  2. 2 The explosion that never reaches the surface
  3. 3 The mass a star does not keep
  4. 4 A surface that slowed because the star grew
  5. 5 A convective boundary with no theory to fix it
5 essays · stars Why an Einstein radius is a mass. The geometry, drawn at an angle some ten thousand times larger than the real one so that anything is visible at all. Light from a source directly behind a lens reaches the observer along every path that passes the lens at the same distance, so the image is a ring rather than a point. The ring's angular radius is θ_E = √(4GM/c² · D_ls/D_l D_s), which for a lens of 1.0×10¹² M☉ at these distances is 2.52 arcseconds and encloses 10 kpc at the lens. Rearranged, it is a mass in terms of an angle and three distances — and the mass so obtained is inside a cylinder rather than a sphere, and assumes nothing whatever about the lens being in equilibrium, which is the assumption every other weighing in this collection makes.

Strong lensing

  1. 1 Weighed by the light that bends past it
  2. 2 A distance measured with a stopwatch
  3. 3 A sheet of mass that changes nothing but the answer
  4. 4 A dispersion that weighs the sheet only if the orbits are known
  5. 5 A hundred lenses and one assumption
5 essays · galaxies Three slopes: 2.5, −0.75 and −1.25, and only the middle one is about the electrons. A radio source's spectrum across five decades of frequency, computed for an electron population with index p = 2.5 in a uniform field. Nothing in this curve is a temperature, because a power law has no scale and therefore nothing a thermometer could read. The straight section between the two bends has slope −0.75, measured here off the drawn curve, and the electron index follows from it and from nothing else: α = (p − 1)/2, so a flux ratio between two frequencies is a measurement of the energy distribution of particles in a place no detector will ever visit. The two bends are the other two measurements. Below 80 MHz the source is opaque to its own radiation and rises as ν^2.5 — a slope fixed at 5/2 by the geometry alone, whatever the electrons are doing — and the frequency at which that happens gives an angular size for a source nothing has resolved, because the turnover is where the brightness temperature meets the electrons' own. Above 12 GHz the spectrum steepens by 0.50: the electrons that radiate at high frequency lose their energy fastest, so the top of the distribution has already emptied, and the frequency of the break is a clock. What no part of this curve gives is the magnetic field. Only the field and the particle density together enter the emission, and every field strength ever quoted for a radio source comes from assuming the two share the energy equally.

Synchrotron radiation

  1. 1 A spectrum with no temperature in it
  2. 2 A minimum that was mistaken for a principle
  3. 3 A temperature that is a speed
  4. 4 Two clocks for one lobe
  5. 5 A lobe that reads the time since it was stirred
5 essays · starlight

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